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City by the Lake.org, The Voice of Michigan City, Indiana _ Election Headquarters _ Presidential Thread

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 17 2007, 10:15 AM

2008 election: Main contenders In US politics, there is usually an incumbent running for the White House - if not the president himself (and so far it has always been a "himself"), then his vice-president.
Mr Bush will leave the White House after the two-term limit But with George W Bush constitutionally limited to two terms and Vice-President Dick Cheney making clear he will not run, the race for the White House is wide open for the first time since 1928.


Election Day - 4 November 2008 - may feel to outsiders like it is a long way off, but several debates have been held already and campaigning is well under way.

And with experts predicting it will be the first $1bn election, the candidates - in what is an unusually crowded field - are focused on raising money and winning support in key states.

Here are the people presently considered the most capable of making a serious run.

DEMOCRATS
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#clinton http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#dodd http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#edwards http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#gore http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#obama http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#richardson IPB Image REPUBLICANS http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#giuliani http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#huckabee http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#mccain http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#romney http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#thompson



http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/5006788.stm#others



HILLARY CLINTON Who is she? The first former First Lady to go on to hold elected office, she is now serving as senator for New York. Declared her intention to stand with a video saying "I'm in to win" on her website on 20 January 2007 - two years to the day before the next president is inaugurated.




Hillary Clinton: Leader of the pack Why take her seriously? Unbeatable name recognition and serious fundraising ability make Hillary - no surname necessary - a clear front-runner for the Democrats. She has tried to stake out a position as a centrist in her six years in the Senate. She reported $26m in fundraising from the first quarter of 2007, plus $10m from her 2006 Senate campaign fund, and netted a further $27m in the second quarter. She continues to dominate national and most state polls.


What is going to stand in her way? If Bill Clinton remains a divisive figure in American politics, that goes at least double for Hillary - some estimates say one in three Americans would never vote for her. And the US has never yet elected a woman president. Her fundraising efforts have not been enough to shake off close rivals, notably Barack Obama.

Did you know? Is there anything we do not already know about Hillary Clinton?



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CHRIS DODD Who is he? Senior senator from the north-eastern state of Connecticut. He declared in January 2007 he was running for president.

IPB Image Chris Dodd: Iraq apology Why take him seriously? Senator Dodd is chairman of the Senate banking committee, which could prove valuable when it comes to fundraising. He is well liked in the party, and has come out as a clear opponent of the Iraq war, apologising for his 2002 vote in favour of it.

What is going to stand in his way? Chris Dodd has been drawing much smaller crowds than his rivals in key early-primary states such as Iowa - and after the defeat of John Kerry in 2004, the Democratic party may be very reluctant to nominate another senator from a small, liberal New England state.

Did you know? Mr Dodd, 62, has two young children, prompting him to joke that he is the only candidate on mailing lists both for pensioners and nappy buyers.



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JOHN EDWARDS Who is he? Former lawyer and one-term North Carolina senator who ran for vice-president with John Kerry in 2004. He now runs an anti-poverty centre, and declared his White House ambition at the end of 2006.

IPB Image John Edwards: Southern charmer Why take him seriously? Supporters and detractors alike agree that Mr Edwards is an excellent speaker, a man the Washington Post's politics blogger Chris Cillizza dubbed "the most naturally talented politician in the field". He has been campaigning hard on an anti-poverty platform and has won the backing of several labour organisations.

What is going to stand in his way? Audiences - even sympathetic ones - tend to find Mr Edwards too slick. His poor-boy-made-good routine can also come across as patronising. The news that wife Elizabeth's cancer had returned prompted a media row over whether he should still be running. She has in fact become a forceful voice in his campaign. He reported raising $14m in funds in the first quarter of 2007 and $9m in the second - some way short of his chief Democratic rivals.

Did you know? Mr Edwards helped to depose key witnesses during the Senate's impeachment trial of Bill Clinton in 1999.





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AL GORE Who is he? Vice-president for eight years under Bill Clinton and the loser of the most controversial presidential election in more than a century, against George W Bush in 2000.


Al Gore: Back in the limelight Why take him seriously? Gore backers never fail to point out that more Americans voted for Mr Gore than for Mr Bush in 2000. He has kept largely out of politics since then - but with his film about the environment winning an Academy Award for best documentary, he has been back in the spotlight.


What is going to stand in his way? Mr Gore has said repeatedly that he is not going to run for president in 2008.... although many believe he could be persuaded to change his mind. He made a joke about the speculation at the Oscars ceremony, pretending he was about to announce his candidacy, then being drowned out by the orchestra.

Did you know? Al Gore shared a room with the actor Tommy Lee Jones when the two were students at Harvard, and Jones gave one of the speeches officially nominating him for the presidency in 2000.



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BARACK OBAMA Who is he? Mixed-race junior senator from Illinois who shot to prominence at the 2004 Democratic National Convention. He began his official campaign on 10 February 2007 with a call for the Iraq war to end, saying US troops must withdraw by March 2008.


Barack Obama: "Rock-star" reception Why take him seriously? Time magazine dubbed Senator Obama "America's hottest political phenomenon", while television's own phenomenon, Oprah Winfrey, urged him to announce his candidacy on her show. A book tour just a month before the 2006 mid-term elections saw him greeted like a rock star. He impressed observers by raising $25m in funds in the first quarter of 2007 - only $1m short of Hillary Clinton's total - and overtook her in the second quarter with a record $32.8m.


What is going to stand in his way? Barack Obama will have served only four years in the Senate when the 2008 election rolls around - even less than John F Kennedy did before he was elected in 1960. And while his supporters praise him as thoughtful, deliberative and liberal, some experts doubt those are the characteristics that get a politician to the White House.

Did you know? Barack Obama's mother was from Kansas and his father was from Kenya - leading observers to suggest he is an African and an American, but not an African-American.



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BILL RICHARDSON Who is he? Governor of the south-western state of New Mexico who was US ambassador to the United Nations under Bill Clinton before becoming his secretary of energy.

IPB Image Bill Richardson: Relevant experience Why take him seriously? Gov Richardson hopes his CV will make him the ideal candidate in an age when voters are concerned about high gas prices and possible conflicts with Iran and North Korea. His Latino heritage may also win him votes with the country's largest minority population - one which both Republicans and Democrats need to compete for.

What is going to stand in his way? Gov Richardson is reportedly larger than life in small groups, easily able to connect with many different types of people - but in front of crowds he does not always demonstrate much charisma. And the small, out-of-the-way state of New Mexico is not a natural launching pad for a national campaign.

Did you know? Gov Richardson has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize four times.



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RUDOLPH GIULIANI Who is he? Former mayor of New York City who shot to international prominence for his firm leadership on 11 September 2001. He set up a committee to explore a White House bid shortly after the mid-terms in Nov 2006.


Rudolph Giuliani: "America's mayor" Why take him seriously? Mr Giuliani emerged as a hero of 9/11, prompting Time magazine to name him Man of the Year for 2001. Even before then, he was credited with bringing down New York's crime rate - and since leaving office he has been an active fundraiser and campaigner for other Republican candidates, keeping his stock high. He consistently leads national polls of likely Republican voters. He pulled in $15m in the first quarter of 2007, despite making a late start on fundraising, and $17.5m in the second.


What is going to stand in his way? "America's mayor" may be a law-and-order conservative, but his positions on gay rights, abortion and gun control are comparatively liberal, which does not endear him to the party's right wing. He has tried to make allies among the Christian right, but has not reversed his stance on the issues.

Did you know? Mr Giuliani was preparing to run against Hillary Clinton for a Senate seat in 2000 when he was diagnosed with prostate cancer and quit the race.



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MIKE HUCKABEE Who is he? Governor of Arkansas from 1996 to 2006, best known nationally for his dramatic weight loss in response to a diagnosis of diabetes. Also named to Time magazine's 2006 list of the nation's best governors.

IPB Image Mike Huckabee: Dramatic change Why take him seriously? Gov Huckabee has carved out a place for himself as a health advocate following his own turnaround from fat to fit. As an ordained Baptist minister who says his faith is inseparable from his politics, he may be a magnet for conservative Christian votes - especially if competing against a social liberal such as Rudolph Giuliani.

What is going to stand in his way? His Evangelical faith has led him to take positions that do not appeal to all Republicans, such as an increase in the state's minimum wage - which drew fire from fiscal conservatives. He is also lagging far behind better-known names when it comes to fundraising.

Did you know? Gov Huckabee plays bass guitar in a band called Capitol Offense.



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JOHN McCAIN Who is he? Maverick senator from Arizona who ran against George W Bush for the Republican nomination in 2000 and has had complex relations with the president ever since. In Nov 2006, he took the first step towards declaring his intention to run in 2008, and officially launched his candidacy in April 2007.


John McCain: Straight talker Why take him seriously? John McCain is one of the highest-profile figures in Washington, known for sponsoring key measures against torture and in favour of campaign finance reform. He continues to command respect despite falling behind the front-runners in many polls.


What is going to stand in his way? Although Sen McCain says unequivocally that he is a social conservative, his frequent skirmishes with the Bush administration have made him more popular with liberals than with conservatives. He has also doggedly backed America's keeping troops in Iraq, an increasingly unpopular position. He overhauled his fundraising operation after a disappointing first quarter of 2007 but this was not enough to turn the tide, prompting a major shake-up of his operation over the summer.

Did you know? Shot down as a Navy pilot over Vietnam in 1967, Mr McCain refused to be released ahead of other prisoners of war - earning himself five years of captivity, two in solitary confinement.



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MITT ROMNEY Who is he? Republican governor of Massachusetts from 2002 to 2006 who made headlines for a state law making health insurance mandatory. He declared his White House intentions in February 2007, saying America needed "innovation and transformation" from outside of Washington.

IPB Image Mitt Romney: Olympics saviour Why take him seriously? Gov Romney may have cracked one of the most intractable issues facing America - the millions of people with no health insurance in a country that does not have a national health system. He won acclaim for taking over the organisation of the 2002 Salt Lake City Winter Olympics when planning looked on the verge of collapse, delivering a successful and profitable event. He reported an impressive $23m in fundraising for the first three months of 2007 but slipped back a little in the second quarter. After pouring significant effort into Iowa, he won its non-binding straw poll. (His chief rivals skipped it.) He has been polling well.

What is going to stand in his way? It is not clear that Gov Romney's health-insurance model can be applied nationally, as Massachusetts is a small and wealthy state. Some voters may be put off by the fact that Gov Romney is a Mormon - a religion that some consider outside the mainstream. A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll in July 2006 found that just over one in three Americans say they would not vote for a Mormon for president.

Did you know? Gov Romney's father, former Michigan Governor George Romney, ran for president in 1968, but failed to secure his party's nomination.



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FRED THOMPSON Who is he? Former two-term senator for Tennessee who left politics in 2002 to return to acting, but has now announced a White House run.

IPB Image Fred Thompson: Actor's charm Why take him seriously? Mr Thompson is well known to many voters through his role as district attorney Arthur Branch in TV crime series Law & Order. Unlike some of his rivals, he has good conservative credentials on such issues as abortion and gun rights.

Polls consistently put him among the front-runners - and analysts predict his down-to-earth charm may help him pick up support from voters uninspired by the other choices.

What is going to stand in his way? Mr Thompson is later than most in entering the race, putting him at a big disadvantage when it comes to fundraising. The long delay in his official declaration has prompted speculation he may have missed his window of opportunity. He will have to overcome a perception in some circles that he is not 100% committed to politics.

Did you know? Mr Thompson has played both himself and a US president. His turn in the top job came with a cameo in the 2007 film Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee, as President Ulysses S Grant. He played himself as a senator in the movie Looking for Comedy in the Muslim World.



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OTHER OFFICIAL CANDIDATES
Joe Biden
Democrat
Senator from Delaware

Mike Gravel
Democrat
Former senator from Alaska




Dennis Kucinich
Democrat
Representative from Ohio



IPB Image
Sam Brownback
Republican
Senator from Kansas

Duncan Hunter
Republican
Representative from California

IPB Image Ron Paul
Republican
Representative from Texas


Tom Tancredo
Republican
Representative from Colorado







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Posted by: southsider2k7 Oct 17 2007, 10:42 AM

Ugh. Even after all of this time, I am so completely unimpressed by the slate of candidates we have on tap for this election. Everyone of them has a major flaw in my eyes. In all honesty if I had to vote today, I would be picking between a few guys at the last minute, and holding my breath while I pulled the lever.

Also FWIW, Al Gore said yesterday he is not going to run for President.

Posted by: RedDevilMC Oct 17 2007, 11:31 AM

Thanks for the information.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 17 2007, 11:36 AM

This article is from my favorite online news source, the BBC. By the way, Administrator, I had to delete pictures so the post was allowed. I tried to remove the ones we all know too well, plus the little ones at the end of the article.


Posted by: southsider2k7 Oct 17 2007, 11:46 AM

Was the size of the post too big, because some of the pictures did come through?

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 18 2007, 11:43 AM

Too many images, it said. I just deleted them one by one until it went through.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 31 2007, 04:18 PM

Here's a little history lesson for you. If you don't know the answer, make your best guess.

Answer all the questions before looking at the answers.

Who said it? 1) "We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good."
A. Karl Marx

B. Adolph Hitler

C. Joseph Stalin

D. None of the above
2) "It's time for a new beginning, for an end to government of the few, by the few, and for the few...... And to replace it with shared responsibility for shared prosperity."
A. Lenin

B. Mussolini

C. Idi Amin

D. None of the Above
3) "(We) ...can't just let business as usual go on, and that means something has to be taken away from some
people"

A. Nikita Khrushev

B. Josef Goebbels

C. Boris Yeltsin

D. None of the above
4) "We have to build a political consensus and that requires people to give up a little bit of their own ... in order to create this common ground."
A. Mao Tse Tung
B. Hugo Chavez
C. Kim Jong Il
D. None of the above
5) "I certainly think the free-market has failed."
A. Karl Marx

B. Lenin

C. Molotov

D. None of the above
6) "I think it's time to send a clear message to what has become the most profitable sector in (the) entire economy that they are being watched."
A. Pinochet
B. Milosevic

C. Saddam Hussein

D. None of the above

Scroll down for answers










Keep scrolling


















Answers
(1) D. None of the above. Statement was made by Hillary Clinton 6/29/2004
(2) D. None of the above. Statement was m ade by Hillary Clinton 5/29/2007
(3) D. None of the above. Statement was made by Hillary Clinton 6/4/2007

(4) D. None of the above. Statement was made by Hillary Clinton 6/4/2007

(5) D. None of the above. Statement was made by Hillary Clinton 6/4/2007

(6) D. None of the above. Statement was made by Hillary Clinton 9/2/2005








Posted by: Ang Oct 31 2007, 09:57 PM

I knew that!

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Nov 1 2007, 07:58 AM

This, of course, is a plant via email purporting to cast Mrs Clinton as some kind of wacko. It is easy to imagine this being done to each candidate by taking one sentence and putting in the appropriate choices. I hope that stuff like this is not how people decide whom to vote for, but I have my doubts.

Posted by: Ang Nov 1 2007, 09:02 AM

There is a big story about those remarks on Snopes. They put the statements in the actual context in which they were said and the remarks don't seem so bad.

http://www.snopes.com/politics/clintons/marxist.asp

It is amazing though, how one can remove a small portion of a sentence and make it seem absolutely horrible when it's by itself.

Depsite the fact that the above remarks are not as bad as they seem when in the context of which they were originally said, I'm still not voting for Hillary. I haven't decided yet who I want to vote for, but I do know that Hillary isn't a contender.

Posted by: Mr. Mark S. Lindborg Nov 2 2007, 04:44 AM

I like Ron Paul. www.RonPaul2008.com

Posted by: southsider2k7 Nov 2 2007, 09:03 AM

Ron Paul is a really interesting guy. The longer he hangs on, the more daylight he seems to get. To me he seems like the Ross Perot of this election.

Posted by: Max Main Nov 6 2007, 10:42 PM

Two things:

a. I wonder how many people who have the kneejerk anti-Hillary reaction could tell us ANYTHIN G about the choices given in the quiz

b. I kind of like Ron Paul, MD, until I heard him in the Michigan debate. Too far out, but I do like some of his views.

Posted by: Dave Jun 3 2008, 04:10 PM

And now we know what it's going to be in November -- Obama vs. McCain.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Jun 5 2008, 12:28 PM


US election primaries quiz



Go to this web site and take the quiz. My score is at the bottom of this post.


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7430209.stm













I got 5 right.





Posted by: JHeath Jun 5 2008, 01:16 PM

QUOTE(Roger Kaputnik @ Jun 5 2008, 01:28 PM) *

I got 5 right.

Me too, Rog.

Posted by: kharris Jun 5 2008, 01:22 PM

QUOTE(JHeath @ Jun 5 2008, 02:16 PM) *

Me too, Rog.

I got 7

Posted by: Ang Jun 5 2008, 01:23 PM

Damn! I suck. I only got 3 sad.gif

Posted by: Dave Jun 5 2008, 02:07 PM

Six here.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Jun 5 2008, 02:41 PM

bump

Posted by: Michelle Jun 11 2008, 11:31 AM

Late to this, but I got seven.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Jul 10 2008, 11:57 AM


It is interesting to follow the elections from a different perspective. This is from the BBC (the only reliable news source besides NPR):

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7474558.stm





US candidates practise their U-turns


By Max Deveson
BBC News, Washington IPB Image
In order to pass their political driving test, successful politicians need to be masters of one tricky manoeuvre in particular - the U-turn.



IPB Image The candidates have shifted their positions on a number of policies The contenders in this year's US presidential election are no exceptions - both John McCain and Barack Obama have engaged in some nifty repositioning.

Mr McCain's U-turns have mostly increased his appeal to the Republican Party's base, placing him on a rightward trajectory.

Barack Obama has been performing a more traditional manoeuvre: running to the left during the primaries, when party activists need to be wooed, then shifting to the centre once the nomination is clinched.

Flip-flopping politicians will always attract charges of hypocrisy and opportunism: it may be worth it if it helps them win over undecided voters in the middle, but when the goal is to shore up their political base, the benefits are much less clear.

Here are some examples.



JOHN MCCAIN

Having long been a member of his party's more moderate wing on a number of issues, Mr McCain began adopting more right-wing positions during the primary campaign.

Immigration

Last year, Mr McCain was one of the key backers of President Bush's plan for "comprehensive immigration reform", which would have created "paths to citizenship" for illegal immigrants, while investing more money in border security.

The plan was very unpopular with the Republican rank-and-file, and Senate Republicans succeeded in blocking the scheme.

During the primaries, Mr McCain announced that his immigration focus would be on securing America's borders, rather than on giving illegal immigrants the chance to become US citizens.

"I understand why you would call it a, quote, shift," McCain told reporters in November 2007.

"I say it is a lesson learned about what the American people's priorities are. And their priority is to secure the borders."

Christian right

Another McCain, quote, shift was in his relationship with the religious right of his party.

During his 2000 bid for the Republican nomination, relations between Mr McCain and Moral Majority founder Jerry Falwell were notoriously fractious.

The Arizona senator memorably described Mr Falwell and fellow members of the religious right as "agents of intolerance".

But in 2006, ahead of his second presidential run, Mr McCain delivered the commencement address at Mr Falwell's Liberty University, after which he attended a small private party hosted by his former political adversary.

Interrogation rules

More recently, Mr McCain angered his former allies in the political centre by supporting a bill exempting the CIA from following the same rules on interrogation as the US Army.

Guantanamo

Mr McCain was one of the most prominent Republican voices opposed to the Bush administration's detention policy in Guantanamo Bay.

But when the Supreme Court recently ruled that Guantanamo detainees should have access to US courts, Mr McCain described it as "one of the worst decisions in the history of the country".

Oil drilling

Since sewing up the Republican nomination in March, Mr McCain - one of only a few prominent Republicans to accept the argument that human activity is causing climate change - has dropped his previous objection to lifting the ban on oil exploration off the coast of the US.






BARACK OBAMA


Since clinching the Democratic nomination, Barack Obama has also been making headlines for his policy shifts.

Campaign finance

Last month he announced that he would be rejecting public financing for his campaign, and would instead rely on private donations.

The McCain camp accused Mr Obama of "going back on his word", although Mr Obama insisted that he had never made a promise to stay in the public finance system.

Surveillance programme

Mr Obama also raised eyebrows when he announced that he would not be opposing a bill going through Congress giving immunity to telephone companies involved in the Bush administration's controversial warrantless wiretap programme.

His decision angered many of his supporters on the left, who accused him of going back on his 2007 pledge "to support a filibuster of any bill that includes retroactive immunity for telecommunications companies".

Gun control

When the Supreme Court decided to overturn Washington DC's handgun ban, Mr Obama declared that the ruling "provide[d] much-needed guidance", despite having previously argued (in a written answer that he says was drafted by an aide and which he had not approved) that the ban was constitutional.

Iraq

Withdrawing troops from Iraq has long been one of the central planks of Mr Obama's campaign, and was something that set him apart from other Democratic candidates running for the party's presidential nomination.

Since his campaign began, however, conditions in Iraq have changed, violence has reduced, and some commentators have suggested that Mr Obama's position is out of date.

Mr Obama himself has announced that he plans to visit Iraq, where he will make "a thorough assessment" which could lead him to "refine" his policy.

Some critics have seized on this as an indication that Mr Obama is laying the groundwork for a change in position.

Free trade

Mr Obama recently hinted to Fortune magazine that his strong anti-free trade rhetoric during the primaries may not be reflected in his actual trade policy should he become president.

His remarks are a neat summation of the pressures and temptations that lead politicians to shift their positions during the process of running for office.

"Sometimes during campaigns the rhetoric gets overheated and amplified," he said.

"Politicians are always guilty of that, and I don't exempt myself."




















My own feeling is that nitpicking on each sentence of every speech is keeping attention from where it ought to be, viz., on issues. I do not expect a candidate to have an answer for every little thing. I want to see that they have intelligence to bear on a subject, and they must not be bound by ideology.



Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Aug 23 2008, 06:13 AM

It is JOE BIDEN for Veep (Dem.).

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Aug 23 2008, 06:27 AM


Barack Obama Chooses Sen. Joseph Biden For VP
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Charles Rex ArbogastSen. Barack Obama, left, laughs with Sen. Joseph Biden before the start of a presidential forum in Chicago in August 2007. AP

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=93902534#93903313


http://www.npr.org/, August 23, 2008 · Democrat Barack Obama has selected Sen. Joseph Biden of Delaware to be his vice presidential running mate.

After much speculation, the Obama campaign confirmed reports on its Web site early Saturday morning.

"Joe Biden brings extensive foreign policy experience, an impressive record of collaborating across party lines, and a direct approach to getting the job done," the site says. "We have our team, but we also have our work cut out for us. Barack Obama and Joe Biden are the leaders who will bring the change our country needs."

Biden, 65, has run for president twice and has experience with foreign and defense issues. The veteran congressman is Catholic, has blue-collar roots, a generally liberal voting record and a reputation as a long-winded orator.

During his more than 30 years in the Senate, Biden has served at various times as chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, a role he currently holds, and as head of the Judiciary Committee, with its jurisdiction over anti-crime legislation and constitutional issues.

News reports said Biden emerged as the likely choice after three other contenders, Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine, Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh, and New York Sen. Hillary Clinton reportedly were told they had not been chosen.

Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, says Obama's pick would have made it through an extensive vetting process.

The Illinois senator and his running mate are scheduled to appear together at a noontime event Saturday in Springfield, Ill.

From staff and wire reports.

<a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/topics/topic.php?topicId=1102">Election 2008
Biden Strong On Foreign Policy, National Security
by http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=2100815

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Mark WilsonSen. Joseph Biden (D-DE) speaks during a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing on July 9. Biden has served several terms as chairman of the committee. Getty Images

IPB Image
IPB Image
Cynthia JohnsonBiden talks to a supporter on a train after announcing his candidacy for the Democratic presidential nomination in 1987. Time Life Pictures/Getty Images

During more than three decades in the U.S. Senate, Joseph Biden, 65, has honed a reputation as a heavyweight on foreign policy and national security, and as a strong debater, if one sometimes prone to verbal gaffes.

Biden was born in Scranton, Pa., to a working-class family — his father was a car salesman — and was raised in the suburbs of Wilmington, Del. He attended Syracuse Law School.

In 1972, at age 29, he became one of the youngest people elected to the Senate. A month later, he http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=14999603 when an automobile accident with a drunk driver killed his wife and daughter, leaving him a single father of two young sons. Biden remarried five years later.

Biden is unarguably a Washington insider, yet he's never actually moved to the city, instead commuting home to Delaware by train every night. He is Roman Catholic, yet favors abortion rights.

Biden has twice run for president himself, first in 1988, when he dropped out after being accused of plagiarizing British Labor Party leader Neil Kinnock. Soon after he suffered an aneurysm, but fully recovered.

Early in his 2007 bid for the presidency, Biden found himself apologizing to rival Barack Obama after a remark some found racially insensitive. He had called Obama "the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy." During the primaries, Biden also claimed Obama was "not yet ready" to serve as president, a line that will no doubt be rehashed now by Republican rivals. Biden never went far with his candidacy, coming in fifth in Iowa.

Biden's legislative career is long and varied. He helped write landmark legislation that set up shelters and a national hotline for abused women, and another law that put 100,000 police on the streets in the mid-1990s. He served as chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee from 1987 to 1995, leading opposition to the controversial Supreme Court nominations of Robert Bork and Clarence Thomas.

Biden has served several terms as chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, which he heads now, and has substantial contacts with world leaders. Just last weekend, he accepted an invitation from Georgian leader Mikhail Saakashvili to visit the former Soviet republic during its tense standoff with Russia. Biden originally voted for the Iraq war, but has since come to be a fierce critic of President Bush's policies in Iraq.

Biden complements a Democratic ticket in areas that polls show Obama is weak — he has gravitas, foreign policy experience, knowledge of the inner workings of Washington, and an appeal to working-class voters. While he's clearly harbored presidential ambitions, Biden would presumably be too old to run again if Obama were elected and served two terms.

Where Obama is nuanced, Biden may also have a greater ability to talk tough against rivals in public debate. But the senator is also known to get carried away with the sound of his own voice, digressing into irrelevant personal anecdotes. Referring to this during the recent series of Democratic debates, moderator Brian Williams asked Biden if he had the "discipline" to be president, to which Biden delivered perhaps the best-received line of his candidacy: "Yes."

Biden is up for re-election to his Senate seat this year, but could run for this spot while also campaigning on the Democratic ticket.


Related NPR Stories


Posted by: southsider2k7 Aug 27 2008, 12:43 PM

OK so maybe Barack Obama isn't that bad after all...

QUOTE
Scott: If the Cubs and the White Sox both make it to the World Series?
Obama: I would be going.
Scott: Who would you root for?
Obama: Oh, that's easy. White Sox. I'm not one of these fair weather fans. You go to Wrigley Field, you have a beer, beautiful people up there. People aren't watching the game. It's not serious. White Sox, that's baseball. Southside.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Aug 27 2008, 04:40 PM

It is funny that both Sox fans and Cub fans feel that there is a core of True Baseball Fans and a bunch of bandwagon/beautiful ppl there to be seen. Seems to be true all over baseball, all pro sports.

True story: The first time my wife saw Spike Lee at the Knicks game, she thought he was the mascot!

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Aug 29 2008, 09:47 AM


McCain Picks Alaska's Palin for VP Spot, Reports Say
http://www.npr.org/, August 29, 2008 · Republican Sen. John McCain is set to announce that Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will be his vice presidential running mate, a move that brings youth and a staunch anti-abortion advocate to the GOP ticket, his campaign announced Friday.

McCain and Palin are expected to appear together for the announcement at a noon rally in Dayton, Ohio.

"This is a bold choice of a strong conservative who is a reformer and will be greeted by the delegates in St. Paul with enthusiasm," said Republican strategist Scott Reed.

Palin, 44, was elected Alaska's first woman governor in 2006 on a platform of ethics reform. She has extensive influence in Alaska politics, having served as mayor of Wasilla and ethics commissioner on the state's Oil and Gas Conservation Commission.

In announcing that she was McCain's choice, the campaign's statement said she has challenged the influence of big oil and used her veto power to cut budgetary spending.

"Governor Palin has the record of reform and bipartisanship that others can only speak of. Her experience in shaking up the status quo is exactly what is needed in Washington today," the campaign's news release said.

Palin has steadfastly opposed abortion and earlier this year gave birth to a child who she knew would have Down syndrome. She and her husband, Todd, have five children, who range in age from 18 years to 4 months. Todd Palin is of native Alaskan Yup'ik ancestry. Her addition to the ticket could bolster McCain support among the Republican Party's Christian base.

McCain's announcement comes a day after Illinois Sen. Barack Obama accepted the Democratic Party's presidential nomination. McCain and Palin will face Obama and Delaware Sen. Joe Biden in the Nov. 4 election.

From NPR and wire reports

<a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=93739362">The Republican Convention
Sarah Palin, A Fresh Face For The GOP
by http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=2100470

[url="java script:void(0);"]IPB Image[/url][url="java script:void(0);"]IPB ImageEnlarge[/url]
Al GrilloSarah Palin, 44, is the governor of Alaska. AP


In Focus

<h5 class="edTag">From The NPR.org Archives</h5>"The recently elected governor of Alaska is 44, the mother of five, and a former state champ in high school basketball. She is truly mediagenic, strongly pro-life and full of spunk. But can McCain say Obama lacks experience but that Sarah Palin is ready to be a heartbeat away? Can he turn over Dick Cheney's office to someone whose only previous office was mayor of Wasilla?"

—NPR Senior Washington Editor Ron Elving, 'Watching Washington' (June 12, 2008)



Web Resources Sarah Palin, reportedly John McCain's vice-presidential selection, is no stranger to the "maverick" label often assigned to her Republican running mate. Alaska's youngest and first female governor has pushed for ethics investigations of fellow Republicans in her state, and bucked the powerful oil industry on a major natural gas pipeline project. When she ran for governor in 2006, she ran as an outsider and an agent for change.

The 44-year-old Palin is a fresh face on the national political scene. But she has participated in local and state politics for much of her adult life. She was elected to the Wasilla City Council in 1992, running against tax increases. Four years later, she was elected mayor, a job she held until 2002. In 2003, Palin was named chairwoman of the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission.

She graduated from the University of Idaho in 1987 and worked for two years as a television sports reporter before becoming co-owner of a commercial fishing operation in Alaska.

Like the wife of the Democratic nominee, Michele Obama, Palin also played basketball in school. She was on the Wasilla, Alaska, state championship girls basketball team in 1982.

Palin has five children with her husband Todd.


Related NPR Stories

Posted by: JHeath Aug 29 2008, 10:23 AM

QUOTE
Palin has steadfastly opposed abortion and earlier this year gave birth to a child who she knew would have Down syndrome. She and her husband, Todd, have five children, who range in age from 18 years to 4 months. Todd Palin is of native Alaskan Yup'ik ancestry. Her addition to the ticket could bolster McCain support among the Republican Party's Christian base.


Religion aside, because I'm not a Christian, I want to know how she can maintain a commitment as a mother to 5 children, the youngest of which is a 4-month old (let alone one born with Down's Syndrome) and run for VP. I know lots of people use nannies, but, speaking from experience, it's no easy feat to raise a child with special needs.

Also, wasn't she under investigation for something involving a firing earlier this summer?

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Aug 29 2008, 11:55 AM

function removeDebate(obj){ document.getElementById(obj).value = ''; } http://english.aljazeera.net/Americas
Palin picked as McCain running-mate
IPB Image Sarah Palin has been described as a reformer [AP] John McCain, the US Republican presidential candidate, has introduced Sarah Palin, the governor of Alaska, as his running-mate to take on Barack Obama in November's poll.

Palin, a mother of five, is the first woman to lead Alaska and is best known for pushing for oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, a key part of McCain's energy policy.

McCain introduced Palin to cheering crowds at a rally in Denver, Ohio on Friday.

The Arizona senator said he made his pick after looking for a political partner "who can best help me shake up Washington and make it start working again for the people who are counting on us".

The move could appeal to women voters who might have been disillusioned by Barack Obama's decision to pick Joe Biden as his Democratic running-mate instead of Hillary Clinton, who won 18 million votes in her Democratic primary battle with Obama.

At 44, Palin is three years younger than Obama and, like McCain, she calls herself a "maverick".

In focus http://english.aljazeera.net/focus/uselections2008/default.html
http://english.aljazeera.net/focus/uselections2008/default.html

Lucia Newman, Al Jazeera's correspondent in Dayton, Ohio, said Palin was an interesting choice for McCain.

"One of the perceived weaknesses of John McCain is that he is too old and he is also seen as being too close to the Republican establishment.

"Palin balances out the ticket - she is young and a maverick and brings across some voters who would have supported Hillary Cinton [as the Democratic presidential candidate] and who are not yet convinced by [Barack] Obama." 'Risky choice'



Sean Aday, a political scientist at George Washington University, told Al Jazeera McCain had made a risky choice.

"She's actually pro-life, which helps McCain with his base. She has not been on the national stage. She comes from a very small state. She has never been in this situation."

Barack Obama's campaign issued a statement condemning Palin as too inexperienced for the vice-presidency. "Today, John McCain put the former mayor of a town of 9,000 with zero foreign policy experience a heartbeat away from the presidency," said Bill Burton, Obama's campaign spokesman.

Historic nomination McCain is preparing to accept his party's nomination for president at the Republican convention in St. Paul, Minnesota, next week.

Mitt Romney, McCain's former rival for the Republican nomination, and independent senator Joe Lieberman, had been top contenders for the vice-presidential candidate position. Tom Ridge, the former governor of Pennsylvania, had also been linked to the post.

Early on Friday, Tim Pawlenty, the conservative Minnesota governor, said it was "a fair assumption" he would not be joining McCain on the Republican ticket.

Barack Obama, the Illinois senator, accepted the Democratic presidential nomination on Thursday, becoming the first African-American of a major US party to win it.

By announcing his vice-presidential pick on Friday, observers say McCain was hoping to to divert attention from Obama, who attacked McCain in Thursday's acceptance speech, accusing him of following the policies of George Bush, the incumbent president.



Posted by: southsider2k7 Aug 29 2008, 11:57 AM

You are getting your reports on the US election from Al Jazeera? Interesting.

Posted by: southsider2k7 Sep 8 2008, 11:57 AM

http://thenewsdispatch.com/main.asp?SectionID=1&SubSectionID=1&ArticleID=17220&TM=50119.41

QUOTE
Poll: State in play for Obama
McCain barely leads; Daniels ahead in governor’s race.

Brian Howey

INDIANAPOLIS - Hoosiers will find themselves at the American political epicenter as Republican presidential nominee John McCain holds a narrow 45-43 percent lead over Democrat Barack Obama in Indiana, according to a Howey-Gauge Poll of registered voters. The race falls within the poll's 4.1 percent +/- margin of error.

In the Indiana gubernatorial race, Gov. Mitch Daniels holds a commanding 53-35 percent lead over Democrat Jill Long Thompson. Daniels is attracting 24 percent of Democratic vote, while 27 percent of Obama's support is coming from Daniels' supporters. The Republican governor is also attracting 27 percent of the African-American vote with 22 percent of that traditionally Democratic demographic undecided.

The Howey-Gauge Poll was conducted with 600 registered likely voters on Aug. 29-30. The survey began 20 hours after Obama's Democratic National Convention acceptance speech, and five hours after McCain announced the selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate. Poll respondents were universally aware of both events.

In the presidential race, McCain slightly underperformed the GOP base. Both McCain and Obama have near universal name recognition at 99 percent. McCain's 55 percent favorable recognition was up 8 percent and his unfavorables stood at a relatively low 27 percent.

Obama's favorables have been on a steady increase from 41 percent in the April Howey Gauge Poll to 56 percent in this survey. His negatives fell from 34 percent in April to 27 percent in August. Hoosiers having a hard opinion of McCain increased from 72 percent in April to 82 percent.

"The positive movement for Obama is significant," Gauge Market Research pollster Holly Davis said. "At the end of the day, we'll have to wait and see if Obama's impact is larger than that of Palin's. We will see if the new voters that were registered before and after the May Democratic primary outweigh the renewed excitement social conservatives have for Sarah Palin."

In the gubernatorial race, Democrat Jill Long Thompson faces a similar dilemma to what she faced in the primary. Her total awareness stood at 77 percent, up from 41 percent in February and 59 percent in April. While that number increased, her favorables and unfavorables both increased 10 percentage points from 22 and 9 in April to 32 and 19 in August.

On the re-elect question, Daniels has improved from a 41 percent in February to 47 percent in April a month after HB 1001 passed the Indiana General Assembly and 48 percent in August. Forty percent responded by saying "elect someone new" and 12 percent were undecided.

"In this environment, 48 percent is OK," said Davis. "If that number was still in the low 40s, the governor would be in trouble. On the right track/wrong track question, 47 percent said right track (compared to 37 percent in February, 39 percent in April). The wrong track numbers have declined from 40 percent in February, 41 percent in April and 35 percent in August."

The poll was the third conducted since February by Indianapolis-based Gauge Market Research for Howey Politics Indiana, a nonpartisan, online publication and Web site covering national and Indiana politics. The complete survey can be viewed at www.howeypolitics.com and www.gaugemarketresearch.com.

The final Howey-Gauge Poll will be conducted in late October and released Thursday, Oct. 23.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 8 2008, 03:31 PM

http://www.electoral-vote.com

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 23 2008, 12:18 PM


Palin press may boycott UN conference
Kenneth P. Vogel1 hour, 15 minutes ago

NEW YORK – Journalists, displeased with Sarah Palin’s efforts to restrict their access to her, are threatening not to cover her events surrounding the United Nations conference here unless they're allowed more access.

The unfolding boycott is the latest development in a rocky relationship between Palin’s handlers and the press, in which the campaign has sought to tightly control her interactions with the media.

The campaign had originally indicated that the print reporters following her campaign would be among the small group of journalists allowed to attend the so-called “pool sprays” before Palin’s meetings with dignitaries on the sidelines of the U.N. meetings.

The sprays are basically glorified photo opportunities during which journalists can snap photos and film footage and – if they’re lucky – shout a question or two at Palin and her company before she adjourns for private meetings. On Tuesday, those meetings were to include Afghan President Karzai and former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger.

But the imbroglio began developing Tuesday morning when Palin’s handlers informed the small print press contingent covering her campaign that the print reporter designated to cover the events, Elizabeth Holmes of the Wall Street Journal, would not be allowed to cover the sprays.

The campaign’s reasoning was that there were not going to be questions or statements at the sprays, so they were only appropriate for photographers and cameramen.

The campaign also at first moved to bar CNN, the television network designated for pool duty, from sending its editorial producer – basically a hybrid print/video journalist – though the campaign budged when the network threatened to withhold its cameras as well.

With Palin’s first meeting set to begin at noon, that leaves the print reporters on the outs.

UPDATE: After shutting the print pooler, Holmes, out of the spray before Palin’s meeting with Afghan President Karzai—“rudely,” according to Holmes—the campaign relented and agreed to let her cover the sprays before Palin’s next two meetings, with Colombian President Uribe and Kissinger. Updated story forthcoming.

Copyright © 2008 http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/partner/politico/SIG=113abgr7a/**http%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com%2F.


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Posted by: Dave Sep 23 2008, 01:37 PM

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ijGq94pVTj9FGiR-c5EdA3iSm2owD93CHQP82



QUOTE
By SARA KUGLER – 2 hours ago

NEW YORK (AP) — Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin, who has not held a press conference in nearly four weeks of campaigning, initially barred reporters from her first meetings with world leaders Tuesday, but reversed course after they protested.

At first, campaign aides told the TV producer, print and news agency reporters in the press pool that followed the Alaska governor that they would not be admitted along with still photographers and a video camera crew taken in to photograph her meetings with Afghan President Hamid Karzai and Colombian President Alvaro Uribe, who are here for the United Nations General Assembly this week. She also was to meet later with former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger.

These sessions and meetings scheduled for Wednesday are part of the Republican campaign's effort to give Palin experience in foreign affairs. She has never met a foreign head of state and first traveled outside North America just last year.

At least two news organizations, including The Associated Press, objected to the exclusion of reporters and were told that the decision was not subject to discussion. Presidents and members of Congress routinely allow reporters to attend photo opportunities along with photographers and the reporters sometimes are able to ask questions during the brief photo sessions, usually held at the beginning of private meetings.

CNN, which was providing the television coverage for news organizations, decided to pull its TV crew from the first meeting, with Karzai, effectively denying Palin the high visibility she had sought. But after the campaign agreed to let CNN's producer in as well, the CNN camera crew joined the session.

According to the CNN producer who was let into Karzai's hotel suite with the photographers just before noon, Karzai was talking about his son. Palin was nodding, and asked what his name is. Karzai replied his name was Mirwais and explained that it means light of the house.

The media were escorted out after about 40 seconds.

Campaign aides subsequently announced that reporters would be allowed to accompany photographers into the later sessions with Uribe and Kissinger.

At that point, campaign spokeswoman Tracey Schmitt said it was all just a "miscommunication." Earlier, she had said, "The decision was made for this to be a photo spray with still cameras and video cameras only."

Palin has been criticized for avoiding taking questions from reporters or submitting to one-on-one interviews. She has had just two major interviews since Republican presidential candidate John McCain chose her as his running mate on Aug. 29.

On Wednesday, McCain and Palin were expected to meet jointly with Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili and Ukrainian President Viktor Yuschenko. Palin was then to meet separately with Iraqi President Jalal Talabani, Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari and Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.


40 seconds???? I guess that's long enough to take some pictures but short enough to avoid any questions. Seeing as Palin was talking about family matters with the President of Afghanistan rather than anything of substance, getting the reporters out of the room ASAP must have been a real priority.

Anyone want to take bets that the fact that Karzai's son's name is Mirwais comes up in the VP debates somehow?

Posted by: southsider2k7 Sep 23 2008, 01:43 PM

You have this, and on the other side you have Biden contradicting his own campaign and saying GWB-esque dumb stuff. Its pretty disheartening.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 24 2008, 07:36 AM

"Photo spray" makes me think of "cat spray" somehow.

Posted by: krk Sep 24 2008, 09:04 AM

You know they were afraid she would try to "lay hands" on the man.

"So, Hamid, have you accepted Jesus Christ as your personal savior? Let's speak in tongues."

Posted by: JHeath Sep 24 2008, 09:09 AM

QUOTE(Roger Kaputnik @ Sep 24 2008, 08:36 AM) *

"Photo spray" makes me think of "cat spray" somehow.

I was thinking more along the lines of "skunk." laugh.gif

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 24 2008, 09:34 AM

If you have ever had to deal with cat spray, you are not far off the mark. Let's just say it is best to just throw out the carpet or sofa.

Posted by: Dave Sep 24 2008, 01:16 PM

QUOTE(Roger Kaputnik @ Sep 24 2008, 10:34 AM) *

If you have ever had to deal with cat spray, you are not far off the mark. Let's just say it is best to just throw out the carpet or sofa.

Not to mention the cat.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 24 2008, 03:32 PM

We had a cat who had kittens by 5 females that we know of. His name? The Rifleman!

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 25 2008, 02:11 PM

IPB Image New Rule: If we can’t, after all is said and done, make this election go the right way, at least we can save one man. I’m talking about young Master Levi Johnston. He’s the 18-year-old Alaskan hockey enthusiast who knocked up Sarah Palin’s daughter, and the National Enquirer describes him as “a boozing pot-smoker who doesn’t want to get married” – and John McCain thinks he found his soul mate!





We’ve all recently seen how evil henchman of the Republican party captured this poor innocent out of his natural habitat and forced him into a shotgun wedding, all so that their campaign narrative of fake family values could be upheld. When the 17-year-old daughter of the vice presidential candidate running on the Jesus ticket is “out to here,” it’s just better that Levi was introduced as the “fiancé.” Looks a little less white trashy.





But that doesn’t change the fact that right now Levi is America’s number one political prisoner. But Levi, you don’t have to be – this is the 21st century, at least in the blue states. We don’t have sharia law like in Saudi Arabia, or Alabama, and as much as the Bible thumpers would want it, we still don’t have arranged marriages in America. You don’t have to do this – you have options. You can pull a Juno – fuck, you live in Juneau! Or you could do what most people do with an unwanted child: give it to Angelina Jolie.





And if you’re worried about the baby, don’t – let’s get real dude, the way you are at 18, a baby’s better off not being around you – you’ll wind up losing it, or shooting it, or it’ll be on the bottom of your skate or something – just let the Palin womenfolk look after it for a while, one more infant in that Mormon compound they call a house won’t bother anybody – they’ll barely notice another kid at the table, and soon they won’t even remember whose seed it was that produced young “Trink” or “Truck” or “Puck” or whatever fucked up redneck name they give him.





In any event, we here at Real Time have taken the liberty of purchasing the website FreeLevi.org. And I will be happy to give the site over to you if you want to use it to get folks to contribute to some sort of liberty fund so you can get enough money to get out of that frozen meth lab they call a town. And even if the money doesn’t come in, listen to me, it’s not too late: just grab your skull bong, climb out the window, and get on the highway. I can’t actually come get you, or even let you stay at my place because I’m pretty sure you’d smoke all my weed, but just call me from a pay phone, I know of a safe house you can stay ‘til after the election, it’s like the witness protection program for baby-daddies.





And remember, Levi: California knows how to party. Trust me, the girls out here are going to love a big, high-sticking farm boy like you. If you play your cards right, in a couple weeks you could be screwing the lesbian right out of Lindsay Lohan.


FREE LEVI

IPB Image

Posted by: mcstumper Sep 25 2008, 08:56 PM

QUOTE
New Rule: If we can’t, after all is said and done, make this election go the right way, at least we can save one man. I’m talking about young Master Levi Johnston. He’s the 18-year-old Alaskan hockey enthusiast who knocked up Sarah Palin’s daughter.....


What trash. You're stooping, Rog.



Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 26 2008, 07:58 AM

I thought it was a humorous idea, and original. Here is something I do really like about Gov. Palin: She is not afraid to be herself; the way the media is kept away from her has more to do with, I suspect, the fear her party handlers have of this. She meets some of the key criteria I identified earlier. And, yes, I do trust intelligence over experience.

Posted by: mcstumper Sep 26 2008, 05:25 PM

QUOTE(Roger Kaputnik @ Sep 26 2008, 08:58 AM) *

I thought it was a humorous idea, and original. Here is something I do really like about Gov. Palin: She is not afraid to be herself; the way the media is kept away from her has more to do with, I suspect, the fear her party handlers have of this. She meets some of the key criteria I identified earlier. And, yes, I do trust intelligence over experience.


Fair enough. I heard some clips of her talking about having foreign policy experience due to Alaska's proximity to Russia. That's something I hope I soon forget.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Sep 29 2008, 10:24 AM

I just hope that we never have to rely on that 'expertise.'

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 8 2008, 08:35 AM

FactChecking Debate No. 2October 8, 2008Nonsense in NashvilleSummaryMcCain and Obama debated for the second time, in Nashville. We noted some misleading statements and mangled facts:

For full details, and additional quibbles, please read our Analysis section.
AnalysisSens. Barack Obama and John McCain met Oct. 7 for the second of three scheduled presidential debates. It was a town-hall-style debate before an audience of 80 uncommitted voters. Questions were submitted by the audience members, and others who sent them by e-mail, and were screened beforehand by moderator Tom Brokaw of NBC News. The event was held at Belmont University in Nashville, Tenn., and was broadcast nationally. We caught several misleading statements and falsehoods, many of which the candidates have said before.

"My" Mortgage Plan?

McCain made what he claimed was a new proposal to rescue over-mortgaged homeowners:
McCain: As president of the United States. ... I would order the secretary of the treasury to immediately buy up the bad home loan mortgages in America and renegotiate at the new value of those homes – at the diminished value of those homes and let people be able to make those – be able to make those payments and stay in their homes.
McCain added: "It's my proposal, it's not Sen. Obama's proposal, it's not President Bush's proposal. But I know how to get America working again..."

But in fact, the recently passed $700 billion http://frwebgate.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/getdoc.cgi?dbname=110_cong_bills&docid=f:h1424enr.txt.pdf already grants the treasury secretary authority to undertake just such a program. It requires the secretary to buy up troubled mortgages while taking into consideration “the need to help families keep their homes and to stabilize communities.” It also says “the Secretary shall consent, where appropriate (to) loss mitigation measures, including term extensions, rate reductions (or) principal write downs."

Obama himself had urged this as the package was being considered. http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2008/09/barack_obama_sept_23_press_con.html that "we should consider giving the government the authority to purchase mortgages directly instead of simply purchasing mortgage-backed securities."

McCain said "his" proposal would be expensive, and his campaign quickly issued a news release giving numbers:
McCain press release: The direct cost of this plan would be roughly $300 billion because the purchase of mortgages would relieve homeowners of “negative equity” in some homes. ... It may be necessary for Congress to raise the overall borrowing limit.
Minutes later, McCain was attacking Obama for proposing what he said was $860 billion in new spending.

Oversimplifying the Financial Crisis. Again.


The finger-pointing was fast and furious during the discussion of the fiscal crisis. McCain blamed lax regulation of the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation:
McCain: But you know, one of the real catalysts, really the match that lit this fire was Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. [T]hey're the ones that, with the encouragement of Sen. Obama and his cronies and his friends in Washington, that went out and made all these risky loans, gave them to people that could never afford to pay back.
Obama blamed deregulation of the banking industry:
Obama: Now, I've got to correct a little bit of Sen. McCain's history, not surprisingly. Let's, first of all, understand that the biggest problem in this whole process was the deregulation of the financial system.
IPB ImageWe’ve been here http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/who_caused_the_economic_crisis.html. McCain has in fact been in favor of financial deregulation, but President Bill Clinton signed, and a lot of other Democrats supported, much of that same deregulation. And while Democrats really did fight McCain-cosponsored regulations of the FMs, McCain himself signed on to the bill just two months before the housing bubble popped.

In fact, there’s plenty of blame to go around. Experts have blamed everyone from home buyers to mortgage lenders to Alan Greenspan to both the Bush and Clinton administrations.

Furthermore,
McCain misspoke when he said Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac "made all these risky loans, gave them to people that could never afford to pay back." Actually those organizations did not make "home loans directly with consumers." Rather, they "work[ed] with mortgage bankers, brokers, and other primary mortgage market partners" and supplied them with the funds to lend to home buyers at affordable rates, as http://www.fanniemae.com/aboutfm/index.jhtml;jsessionid=2GIK4IYKYP5HPJ2FQSISFGI?p=About+Fannie+Mae on their Web sites.

Dubious Health Care Savings

Obama said that his health care plan would cut premium costs substantially:
Obama: We're going to work with your employer to lower the cost of your premiums by up to $2,500 a year.
We contacted health experts about this claim http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/theyve_got_you_covered.html – when Obama was saying the $2,500 would be the savings per family "on average." Some were quite skeptical. M.I.T.’s Jonathan Gruber told us, “I know zero credible evidence to support that conclusion.” Obama has also said on the campaign trail that more than half of the savings would come from the use of electronic health records, a major part of his plan to cut health costs. When we http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/obamas_inflated_health_savings.html, experts told us it was wishful thinking.

Adoption of electronic medical records has been slow among doctors and hospitals. Obama could do much to speed it up, but it's not clear that he could bring about widespread adoption or reap such large savings from it. One of his advisers previously http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/obamas_inflated_health_savings.html that the $2,500 figure included savings that would go to government and employers and that could, theoretically, result in lower taxes or higher wages for Americans. It remains to be seen whether savings could trickle down like that, even if Obama could gain the optimistic overall health care savings he touts.

More Health Care Misleads

McCain misstated his own health care plan and Obama’s in one sentence:
McCain: I am in favor of . . . giving every American a $5,000 refundable tax credit and go out and get the health insurance you want rather than mandates and fines for small businesses, as Sen. Obama's plan calls for.
McCain's http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Issues/19ba2f1c-c03f-4ac2-8cd5-5cf2edb527cf.htm does not call for giving a $5,000 tax credit for "every American." It calls for a tax credit of $2,500. The $5,000 figure would apply to couples or families. And Obama’s plan requires large businesses to provide coverage for their employees or pay into a national plan, not "small businesses," as McCain said. Obama's health care proposal, http://www.barackobama.com/pdf/issues/HealthCareFullPlan.pdf, says: “Small businesses will be exempt from this requirement.” McCain http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_mccain.html in his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention, and he repeated the claim in the debate, saying, "If you're a small business person and you don't insure your employees, Sen. Obama will fine you. Will fine you." As we said, that's false. Obama countered that he had proposed a refundable tax credit for small businesses of up to 50 percent of the cost of premiums, which is indeed part of his plan. We've noted before that neither man defines what he means by "small business."

Black Hawk Down

McCain lamented having to “withdraw in humiliation” from Somalia in 1993, but failed to mention his own role:
McCain: We went in to Somalia as a peacemaking organization, we ended up trying to be – excuse me, as a peacekeeping organization, we ended up trying to be peacemakers and we ended up having to withdraw in humiliation.
What McCain isn’t saying is that he led an attempt to force the ClintonIPB Image administration to withdraw more quickly. After the First Battle of Mogadishu (immortalized in the book and film “Black Hawk Down”), Clinton http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9F0CEEDC123CF936A25753C1A965958260 a six-month plan for withdrawing combat troops. Then-Sen. Phil Gramm complained that the plan was an attempt to “save face,” and McCain introduced an amendment to cut off funding for combat in Somalia and force an immediate withdrawal. The http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=103&session=1&vote=00313 was tabled and the Senate backed Clinton’s plan. In his 2002 memoir, “Worth the Fighting For,” McCain called his amendment “hasty” and wrote that he “regretted” what he came to see as “a retreat in the face of aggression from an inferior foe.”

Nuclear Warming

Obama flatly said he favored nuclear energy – embracing it more warmly than in the past:
Obama: Contrary to what Sen. McCain keeps on saying, I favor nuclear power as one component of our overall energy mix.
Previously Obama has been more hesitant. He said at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-R52J2D5QQU&feature=related, on Dec. 30, 2007, when asked if he was "truly comfortable" with the safety of nuclear power:
Obama (Dec. 30, 2007smile.gif I start off with the premise that nuclear energy is not optimal. ... I am not a nuclear energy proponent.
He then http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-R52J2D5QQU&feature=related later in the same response that he has "not ruled out nuclear ... but only so far as it is clean and safe." The http://www.barackobama.com/issues/pdf/EnergyFactSheet.pdf Obama released in October 2007 only grudgingly conceded that more nuclear power is probably needed to reduce carbon emissions: "It is unlikely that we can meet our aggressive climate goals if we eliminate nuclear power from the table."

eBay Error

McCain said that "1.3 million people in America make their living off eBay." He's way off. That's the http://www.newsweek.com/id/138221 who have eBay earnings as their primary or secondary income. The online auction site http://investor.ebay.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=170073 that of these, 724,000 people are in the U.S. – but it still doesn't say how many of the 724,000 use eBay as their primary source of income.

McCain was touting the founder of the popular Internet auction site, Meg Whitman, as a possible secretary of the treasury in a McCain administration.

Counting Errors


McCain exaggerated Obama's votes to increase taxes.
McCain: Sen. Obama has voted 94 times to either increase your taxes or against tax cuts. That's his record.
He’s getting warmer — the first time we http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/tax_tally_trickery.html for this one, he said Obama voted 94 times to increase taxes, which is way off. He's now saying it's 94 votes either for increased taxes or against tax cuts. But that's still misleading. Seven of the votes were for lowering taxes for most people while increasing them on a few, and 11 votes were for increasing taxes only on those making more than $1 million a year (not "your taxes" except for a very few.)

Obama had his own misleading claim about vote counts:
Obama: And during that time, he voted 23 times against alternative fuels, 23 times.
We http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_debate_no_1.html that only 11 of those votes would have reduced or eliminated subsidies or tax incentives for alternative energy. The rest were votes McCain cast against the mandatory use of alternative energy, or votes in favor of allowing exemptions from such mandates.

More on that $860 Billion

McCain said that Obama has proposed more than $800 billion in new spending.
McCain: Do you know that Sen. Obama has voted for – is proposing $860
billion of new spending now? New spending.
That’s based on a McCain campaign http://www.johnmccain.com/actioncenter/print.aspx?r=840F6CB4-DFD8-4A7D-9F1C-74BEF988BB57&t=ceb20ad6-f634-43ef-aedd-f5b59c4e02d7 of how much Obama’s new proposals will cost, without figuring in any savings or reductions in spending. Any increase in funding and any created program counts as "new spending" in this estimate, whether or not it is offset by decreases in spending elsewhere.

The nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has found that both Obama and McCain are proposing combinations of tax and spending policies that would increase the federal deficit. It http://www.usbudgetwatch.org/files/crfb/usbw0915promises.pdf that in 2013, Obama’s proposals would produce a net deficit increase of $286 billion, while McCain's major policies would produce a net deficit increase of between $167 billion and $259 billion. In talking to CNN, CRFB President Maya MacGuineas http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/29/fact-check-is-obama-proposing-860-billion-in-new-spending/ that McCain's deficit increase would fall midway between the extremes of that range, at $211 billion.


Iraqi Surplus

Obama repeated a stale talking point when he said, "We're spending $10 billion a month in Iraq at a time when the Iraqis have a $79 billion surplus, $79 billion."

IPB Image As we’ve http://wire.factcheck.org/2008/09/09/obama-make-an-iraqi-accounting-oversight/ when Obama said it on the campaign trail, when he http://wire.factcheck.org/2008/10/02/the-iraqi-surplus/ it at the last debate, and even when Biden http://wire.factcheck.org/2008/10/02/the-iraqi-surplus/ the figure in the vice presidential debate, that number is wrong. The Iraqis actually “have” $29.4 billion in the bank. The Government Accountability Office http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d081031.pdf in August that Iraq’s 2008 budget surplus could range anywhere from $38.2 billion to $50.3 billion, depending on oil revenue, price and volume. Then, in early August, the Iraqi legislature passed a $21 billion supplemental spending bill. The supplemental will be completely funded by this year’s surplus, and that means that the Iraqi’s will not have $79 billion in the bank. They could have about $59 billion.

$6.8 Million Boast

McCain repeated a questionable boast when he said, “I've taken on some of the defense contractors. I saved the taxpayers $6.8 billion in a deal for an Air Force tanker that was done in a corrupt fashion."

As we http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_debate_no_1.html in our analysis of the first debate, there is more to the story. McCain http://www.forbes.com/2008/03/04/john-mccain-boeing-face-markets-cx_ll_0304autofacescan04.html a fight to kill the contract, and the effort ended in prison sentences for defense contractors. The contract is still up in the air, however, and questions have been raised about the role McCain played in helping a Boeing rival secure the new contract.

After the original Boeing contract to supply refueling airliners was nixed in 2003, the bidding process was reopened. And in early 2007, Boeing rival EADS/Airbus won the bid the second time around. But Boeing filed a protest about the way the bids were processed, and the Government Accountability Office released a http://www.governmentexecutive.com/pdfs/061808cd1.pdf that found “significant errors” with the bid process.

Further, the New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/19/business/19tanker.html?_r=1&partner=rssnyt&oref=slogin that “McCain’s top advisers, including a cochairman of his presidential campaign, were lobbyists for EADS. And Mr. McCain had written to the Defense Department, urging it to ignore a trade dispute between the United States and Europe over whether Airbus received improper subsidies.”

68 Million Acres

Obama was off the mark when he said that oil companies “currently have 68 million acres that they're not using.”

As we’ve http://www.factcheck.org/askfactcheck/are_the_democrats_correct_in_stating_that.html previously, those 68 million leased acres are not producing oil, but they are not necessarily untouched. In fact, http://www.blm.gov/pgdata/etc/medialib/blm/wo/Business_and_Fiscal_Resources/2006_pls.Par.75530.File.dat/Part_3.pdf, the last year for which figures are available, there were a total of more than 15,000 holes that were being proposed, started or finished, according to the Bureau of Land Management. These acres of land that these holes sit on are not counted as being “producing,” but they are certainly far from untouched.

The Return of the Oil Slick

McCain recycled a misleading claim from Sen. Hillary Clinton’s primary campaign,
charging Obama with voting to give “billions” to oil companies:
McCain: By the way, my friends, I know you grow a little weary with this back-and-forth. It was an energy bill on the floor of the Senate loaded down with goodies, billions for the oil companies, and it was sponsored by Bush and Cheney. You know who voted for it? You might never know. That one. You know who voted against it? Me.
McCain is referring to the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which Obama did in fact vote for. Clinton http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/dems_face_youtube_interrogators.html against Obama during the Democratic primaries. It was misleading then and it’s equally misleading now.

In fact, according to a http://www.ncseonline.org/NLE/CRSreports/07March/RL33763.pdf, more tax breaks were taken away from oil companies than were given. Overall, the act resulted in a small net tax increase on the oil industry:
Congressional Research Service: The Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPACT05, P.L. 109-58) included several oil and gas tax incentives, providing about $2.6 billion of tax cuts for the oil and gas industry. In addition, EPACT05 provided for $2.9 billion of tax increases on the oil and gas industry, for a net tax increase on the industry of nearly $300 million over 11 years.
As we said last year, the bill did contain http://www.house.gov/jct/x-59-05.pdf, but most of those went to electric utilities, and nuclear, and also to alternative fuels research
and subsidies for energy-efficient cars, homes and buildings – not to the oil industry.

Computer Error

Obama moved the invention of the computer up by more than a century:
Obama: The same way the computer was originally invented by a bunch of government scientists who were trying to figure out, for defense purposes, how to communicate, we've got to understand that this is a national security issue, as well.
It’s true that the first electronic computer, ENIAC, or the Electronic Numerical Integrator And Computer, http://www.upenn.edu/almanac/v42/n18/eniac.html at the University of Pennsylvania with funding from the War Department.

But ENIAC was not actually the first computer. That distinction belongs to the difference engine, a mechanical computer invented in 1822 by the British mathematician http://www.maxmon.com/1822ad.htm. And even Babbage was drawing on earlier work, such as the calculating machine built in 1671 by the German philosopher http://www-03.ibm.com/ibm/history/exhibits/attic3/attic3_037.html.

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Other quibbles
Sources Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. "http://www.usbudgetwatch.org/files/crfb/usbw0915promises.pdf." U.S. Budget Watch. 15 Sep. 2008.

CNN Political Ticker. "http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/29/fact-check-is-obama-proposing-860-billion-in-new-spending/" 29 Sep. 2008.

JohnMcCain.com. "http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Issues/19ba2f1c-c03f-4ac2-8cd5-5cf2edb527cf.htm." accessed 8 Oct. 2008.

Transcript, “http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2008/09/barack_obama_sept_23_press_con.html” Lynn Sweet's blog, Chicago Sun Times 24 Sept 2008.

Obama, Barack. "http://www.barackobama.com/issues/healthcare/." BarackObama.com, accessed 8 Oct. 2008.

"http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_ep00_im0_mbbl_a.htm." U.S. Energy Information Administration, accessed 8 Oct. 2008.

"http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_d.htm." U.S. Energy Information Administration, accessed
8 Oct. 2008.

"http://www.governmentexecutive.com/pdfs/061808cd1.pdf" Government Accountability Office. 18 June 2008.

Isikoff, Michael, "http://www.newsweek.com/id/142658," Newsweek. 30 June 2008.

Laurent, Lionel, "http://www.forbes.com/2008/03/04/john-mccain-boeing-face-markets-cx_ll_0304autofacescan04.html," Forbers Magazine. 4 March 2008.

Wayne, Leslie, "http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/19/business/19tanker.html?partner=rssnyt," New York Times. 19 June 2008.

Majority Staff, "http://resourcescommittee.house.gov/images/stories/Documents/truth_about_americas_energy.pdf," House Committe on Natural Resources. June 2008.

"http://www.mrm.mms.gov/MRMWebStats/Disbursements_Royalties.aspx?report=TotalLeases&yeartype=FY&year=2007&datetype=," Mineral Management Service. Accessed 2 July 2008.

Van Wagener, Dana, "http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/otheranalysis/ongr.html," Energy Information Administration. Accessed 2 July 2008.

"http://www.blm.gov/pgdata/etc/medialib/blm/wo/MINERALS__REALTY__AND_RESOURCE_PROTECTION_/energy/EPCA_Text_PDF.Par.18155.File.dat/Executive%20Summary%20text.pdf," U.S. Departments of the Interior, Agriculture, and Energy. 2008.


Krauss, Clifford. "[url="http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9F0CEEDC123CF936A25753C1A965958260"]Backing Clinton, Senate Rejects Bid to Speed Somalia
Pullout[/url]," New York Times, 15 October 1993.

Winegrad, Dilys and Atsushi Akera. "http://www.upenn.edu/almanac/v42/n18/eniac.html," University of Pennsylvania Almanac, 30 January 1996.


Related Articleshttp://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/sadly_mostly_true.htmlMcCain and Obama accuse each other of falsehoods, and both have good reason.http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_biden-palin_debate.htmlThe candidates were not 100 percent accurate. To say the least.http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/who_caused_the_economic_crisis.htmlMoveOn.org blames McCain advisers. He blames Obama and Democrats in Congress. Both are wrong.http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_debate_no_1.htmlFacts muddled in Mississippi McCain-Obama meeting.

Copyright © 20

Posted by: southsider2k7 Oct 14 2008, 10:50 AM

Read between the lines here. Under Barack Obama's tax plans 56% of the country will be fully supporting 44% of the country. Stop and think about that. That means almost half of the country, including many who are close to median income in this country will be paying ZERO taxes. A large chunk of that 44% will actually PROFIT from the tax code. That and the old welfare style disincentive to work are by far the two biggest problems I have had with his fiscal policies from day one. I'll be damned if I should support middle class families simply because I am a little more middle class than they are.

The end of the article is 100% right when it wonders why this hasn't been hammered by the McCain campaign, instead of all of the stupid stuff like flag pins and Pastors. This is what I care about, not the rest of the fluff.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122385651698727257.html

QUOTE
One of Barack Obama's most potent campaign claims is that he'll cut taxes for no less than 95% of "working families." He's even promising to cut taxes enough that the government's tax share of GDP will be no more than 18.2% -- which is lower than it is today.
[Review & Outlook] AP

It's a clever pitch, because it lets him pose as a middle-class tax cutter while disguising that he's also proposing one of the largest tax increases ever on the other 5%. But how does he conjure this miracle, especially since more than a third of all Americans already pay no income taxes at all? There are several sleights of hand, but the most creative is to redefine the meaning of "tax cut."

For the Obama Democrats, a tax cut is no longer letting you keep more of what you earn. In their lexicon, a tax cut includes tens of billions of dollars in government handouts that are disguised by the phrase "tax credit." Mr. Obama is proposing to create or expand no fewer than seven such credits for individuals:
[Review & Outlook]

- A $500 tax credit ($1,000 a couple) to "make work pay" that phases out at income of $75,000 for individuals and $150,000 per couple.

- A $4,000 tax credit for college tuition.

- A 10% mortgage interest tax credit (on top of the existing mortgage interest deduction and other housing subsidies).

- A "savings" tax credit of 50% up to $1,000.

- An expansion of the earned-income tax credit that would allow single workers to receive as much as $555 a year, up from $175 now, and give these workers up to $1,110 if they are paying child support.

- A child care credit of 50% up to $6,000 of expenses a year.

- A "clean car" tax credit of up to $7,000 on the purchase of certain vehicles.

Here's the political catch. All but the clean car credit would be "refundable," which is Washington-speak for the fact that you can receive these checks even if you have no income-tax liability. In other words, they are an income transfer -- a federal check -- from taxpayers to nontaxpayers. Once upon a time we called this "welfare," or in George McGovern's 1972 campaign a "Demogrant." Mr. Obama's genius is to call it a tax cut.

The Tax Foundation estimates that under the Obama plan 63 million Americans, or 44% of all tax filers, would have no income tax liability and most of those would get a check from the IRS each year. The Heritage Foundation's Center for Data Analysis estimates that by 2011, under the Obama plan, an additional 10 million filers would pay zero taxes while cashing checks from the IRS.

The total annual expenditures on refundable "tax credits" would rise over the next 10 years by $647 billion to $1.054 trillion, according to the Tax Policy Center. This means that the tax-credit welfare state would soon cost four times actual cash welfare. By redefining such income payments as "tax credits," the Obama campaign also redefines them away as a tax share of GDP. Presto, the federal tax burden looks much smaller than it really is.

The political left defends "refundability" on grounds that these payments help to offset the payroll tax. And that was at least plausible when the only major refundable credit was the earned-income tax credit. Taken together, however, these tax credit payments would exceed payroll levies for most low-income workers.

It is also true that John McCain proposes a refundable tax credit -- his $5,000 to help individuals buy health insurance. We've written before that we prefer a tax deduction for individual health care, rather than a credit. But the big difference with Mr. Obama is that Mr. McCain's proposal replaces the tax subsidy for employer-sponsored health insurance that individuals don't now receive if they buy on their own. It merely changes the nature of the tax subsidy; it doesn't create a new one.

There's another catch: Because Mr. Obama's tax credits are phased out as incomes rise, they impose a huge "marginal" tax rate increase on low-income workers. The marginal tax rate refers to the rate on the next dollar of income earned. As the nearby chart illustrates, the marginal rate for millions of low- and middle-income workers would spike as they earn more income.

Some families with an income of $40,000 could lose up to 40 cents in vanishing credits for every additional dollar earned from working overtime or taking a new job. As public policy, this is contradictory. The tax credits are sold in the name of "making work pay," but in practice they can be a disincentive to working harder, especially if you're a lower-income couple getting raises of $1,000 or $2,000 a year. One mystery -- among many -- of the McCain campaign is why it has allowed Mr. Obama's 95% illusion to go unanswered.

Please add your comments to the Opinion Journal forum.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 14 2008, 11:44 AM

Is the Tax Foundation nonpartisan? The WSJ isn't.


This is exactly what I am talking about in another thread. The issues are real, and the media coverage is insulting. One problem with all the tax policy enacted and proposed is that there are so very many permutations on the effects that one is inundated to the point of numbness, if not numbed-skull-ness, and discussion rapidly becomes meaningless.

What I advocate is a flat tax, a true flat tax--no exceptions, no deductions. Let's say it is determined that income (we can leave that definition to later) tax should be 18%, then the new 1040 post card return would have these instructions:

Line 1 Enter total income
Line 2 Multiply by .18 and enter
Send the Line 2 amount to the US Treasury.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 16 2008, 09:24 AM

http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_debate_no_3.html


FactChecking Debate No. 3

October 16, 2008Sorting out fact and fiction in the presidential candidates' final debate.SummarySpin and hype were apparent, once again, at the third and final debate between McCain and Obama:

For details on these and other misleading claims, please read on to the Analysis section.
AnalysisSens. John McCain and Barack Obama met for their final debate Oct. 15. The face-to-face was held at Hofstra University in Hempstead, N.Y., and was moderated by CBS News' Bob Schieffer.

ACORN and Vote Fraud

McCain made some dire claims about a liberal group he said was out to steal the election:
McCain: We need to know the full extent of Sen. Obama's relationship with ACORN, who is now on the verge of maybe perpetrating one of the greatest frauds in voter history in this country, maybe destroying the fabric of democracy.
It's true that the voter registration wing of the http://www.acorn.org/ has run into trouble in http://voices.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/10/07/acorn_nevada_offices_raided.html. ACORN employees have been investigated and in some cases indicted for voter registration fraud. Most recently, more than 2,000 registrations in Lake County, Ind., have turned out to be http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/09/acorn.fraud.claims/index.html.

But does this constitute "destroying the fabric of democracy"? More like destroying the fabric of work ethic. There's been no evidence that the ACORN employees who submitted fraudulent forms have been paving the way for illegal voting. Rather, they're trying to get paid for doing no work.

Dan Satterberg, the Republican prosecuting attorney in King County, Wash., where the first ACORN case was prosecuted, http://www.metrokc.gov/proatty/news/2007/Voter%20Registration%20Statement.htm:
Satterberg: [A] joint federal and state investigation has determined that this
scheme was not intended to permit illegal voting.


Instead, the defendants cheated their employer. ... It was hardly a sophisticated plan: The defendants simply realized that making up names was easier than actually canvassing the streets looking for unregistered voters. ...

[It] appears that the employees of ACORN were not performing the work that they were being paid for, and to some extent, ACORN is a victim of employee theft.
The $8-an-hour employees were charged with providing false information on a voter registration, and in one case with making a false statement to a public official. ACORN was fined for showing insufficient oversight, but it was not charged with masterminding any kind of fraud.

Meanwhile, on the other side of the table, Obama wasn't entirely forthcoming about his relationship with ACORN:
Obama: The only involvement I've had with ACORN is, I represented them alongside the U.S. Justice Department in making Illinois implement a motor voter law that helped people get registered at DMVs.
He http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/02/20/obama_got_start_in_civil_rights_practice/, but that wasn't his only involvement. He also worked closely with ACORN's Chicago office when he ran a Project Vote registration drive after law school, and Obama did some leadership training for Chicago ACORN. The http://www.woodsfund.org/, where Obama served as a board member, gave http://dynamodata.fdncenter.org/990s/990search/ffindershow.cgi?id=WOOD146 to ACORN's Chicago branch; both organizations are concerned with disadvantaged populations in that city. And during the primaries of this election, Obama's campaign paid upwards of $800,000 to the ACORN-affiliated Campaign Services Inc. for get-out-the-vote efforts (not voter registration). Those services were initially http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/election/s_584284.html on the campaign's Federal Election Commission reports, an error that some find suspicious and others say is par for the course. ACORN's Chicago office and CSI have not been under investigation.

For more on investigations of ACORN and registration fraud, and Obama's involvement with the group, keep an eye on our home page. A longer article on ACORN is in the works.
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Joe the Plumber

Ohio plumber Joe Wurzelbacher got a lot of airtime.

McCain first mentioned Joe by saying:
McCain: Joe wants to buy the business that he has been in for all of these years, worked 10, 12 hours a day. And he wanted to buy the business but he looked at your tax plan and he saw that he was going to pay much higher taxes.
Joe’s newfound fame stems from an impromptu encounter Oct. 12, during which Wurzelbacher http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/10/spread-the-weal.html. Joe has since become a conservative folk hero after telling both http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DbWWHFLYHm0 and the conservative Web site http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/id.1465/pub_detail.asp that he thought Obama’s plans sounded “socialist.”

At their encounter, Wurzelbacher told Obama that “I’m getting ready to buy a company that makes 250 to 280 thousand dollars a year,” before asking whether or not Obama would raise his taxes.

If the company is actually that profitable, and depending on how the business is organized legally, Obama’s plan would indeed raise his federal income taxes, and Obama conceded as much during the exchange. As we’ve written http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/mccains_small-business_bunk.html, small businesses commonly are organized in such a way that their owners file business taxes as individuals. So if Joe’s plumbing business earns more than $200,000 per year (or $250,000 if Joe is married and files tax returns jointly) then his taxes would indeed be higher under Obama's plan than under McCain's.

It’s worth noting that while Wurzelbacher told Fox News’ Neil Cavuto that he lives “in a simple, middle class home” and portrayed himself as an ordinary working guy, Wurzelbacher’s $250,000 to $280,000 is a bit higher than "ordinary." In 2007, the last year for which the Census Bureau has figures, the median income for a family in Toledo, Ohio, was http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/ACSSAFFFacts?_event=Search&geo_id=&_geoContext=&_street=&_county=toledo&_cityTown=toledo&_state=04000US39&_zip=&_lang=en&_sse=on&pctxt=fph&pgsl=010.

But Joe the Plumber wasn’t through yet. He made an encore appearance when McCain recycled a bogus claim that Obama would "fine" small business owners who fail to provide health care coverage for their workers:
McCain: Now, my old buddy, Joe, Joe the plumber, is out there. Now, Joe, Sen. Obama's plan, if you're a small business and . . . you've got employees, and you've got kids, if you don't get – adopt the health care plan that Sen. Obama mandates, he's going to fine you . . . I don't think that Joe right now wants to pay a fine when he is seeing such difficult times in America's economy.
McCain raised a http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_debate_no_2.html at the last debate. It's still false. Obama’s plan, which is http://www.barackobama.com/pdf/issues/HealthCareFullPlan.pdf, specifically says, “Small businesses will be exempt from this requirement.”

Obama hasn't defined exactly what he means by "small" but he seems to think Joe would qualify; he repeatedly referred to Joe’s “small business” during their exchange.

Obama's health plan does mandate that children have health coverage. If Joe doesn't provide insurance for his kids, he would face some unspecified penalty.

Health Care Hype

Obama and McCain traded boasts and accusations on each other’s health careIPB Image plan. They ran afoul of the facts a few times.
Obama: And we estimate we can cut the average family's premium by about $2,500 per year.
The Obama camp does estimate that. But experts http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/theyve_got_you_covered.html found that optimistic figure http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/obamas_inflated_health_savings.html.

Then, McCain said:
McCain: Sen. Obama wants to set up health care bureaucracies, take over the health care of America through — as he said, his object is a single payer system. If you like that, you'll love Canada and England.
Obama’s plan is not a single-payer system, which would be one in which everyone has health care provided and paid for by the government. Under Obama’s health care plan, Americans can keep the insurance they have, choose from federally-approved private plans or buy into a new public plan similar to the health care federal employees and members of Congress have.

McCain was referring to comments Obama made at a town hall meeting in Albuquerque in August. But Obama did not say that "his object is a single payer system." He said it would "probably" be his first choice "if" he were starting with a clean slate, which he isn't. He said his object is to "build up the system we got." According to the http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/08/19/obama-touts-single-payer-system/, Obama said:
Obama (as quoted by the Wall Street Journal, Aug. 19): If I were designing a system from scratch, I would probably go ahead with a single-payer system. ... [M]y attitude is let’s build up the system we got, let’s make it more efficient, we may be over time — as we make the system more efficient and everybody’s covered — decide that there are other ways for us to provide care more effectively.
Back in 2003, Obama was much more explicit. At an AFL-CIO forum, he http://www.pnhp.org/news/2008/june/barack_obama_on_sing.php he was “a proponent of a single-payer health care program,” adding, “that’s what I’d like to see. And as all of you know, we may not get there immediately.”

That was five years ago, however, and recently, Obama has said he’d favor single-payer only if “starting from scratch.” He http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2007/05/07/070507fa_fact_macfarquhar?currentPage=5 in May 2007: “If you're starting from scratch, then a single-payer system ... would probably make sense. But we've got all these legacy systems in place, and managing the transition ... would be difficult to pull off. So we may need a system that's not so disruptive.”

Obama exaggerated a weakness in McCain's health care plan:
Obama: Now, under Sen. McCain's plan there is a strong risk that people would lose their employer-based health care.
Experts see a risk that some would lose their employer-based care, but Obama’s reference to "people" makes it sound as though nearly everyone would. Two independent studies both found that McCain’s plan would lead to a net decline in the number of people with health care through their jobs. (They said Obama’s would result in a net increase.) Both reports show, however, that there’s not a “strong risk” for all, or even a majority, of workers to lose their health care.

Currently, 159 million Americans have health care through their jobs, http://www.statehealthfacts.org/comparebar.jsp?ind=125&cat=3. A http://www.lewin.com/dyn/healthpolicies_3 shows a net decline in the number with job-provided benefits of 9.4 million people in 2010 for McCain's plan. The http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/publications/url.cfm?ID=411749 that the net decrease would be 7.7 million in 2010 and 20.3 million people by 2018.

McCain and Obama both said much more that may have confused viewers. For a spin-free look at both of the candidates’ health care plans, see http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/health_care_spin.html.

100% Negative?

Obama falsely claimed all of McCain's ads had been "negative."
Obama: And 100 percent, John, of your ads – 100 percent of them have been negative.
McCain: It's not true.
Obama: It absolutely is true.
It was almost true, for one recent week. Obama was referring to http://wiscadproject.wisc.edu/wiscads_release_100808.pdf by the Wisconsin Advertising Project at the University of Wisconsin that concluded that “nearly 100 percent of the McCain campaign’s advertisements were negative” during the week of Sept. 28 through Oct. 4. During the same week, 34 percent of the Obama campaign’s ads were negative. The Obama campaign was found to have outspent the McCain campaign in nearly all of the competitive states, in some cases by a margin of more than 3-to-1.

McCain’s ads, however, have not been deemed 100 percent negative in other weeks. In fact, in the week after the Republican National Convention, 77 percent of Obama’s ads were negative, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/17/AR2008091703581.html, while 56 percent of McCain’s were negative.

Wrong on Exports to Colombia

McCain was way off when he said that Colombia is "our largest agricultural importer of our products." To be sure, Colombia is an important trade partner. http://www.fas.usda.gov/ustrade/USTRxBICO.asp?QI= to statistics from the Department of Agriculture, Colombia imported slightly more than $1.4 million worth of U.S. agricultural products in 2007. But that's not even close to the nearly $1.9 billion worth of agricultural products exported to Canada. And there are dozens of other countries that import more U.S. farm products than Colombia does.

Obama No Maverick

Obama exaggerated his willingness to defy his own party. When McCain asked for an example, Obama offered this:

Obama: First of all, in terms of standing up to the leaders of my party, the first major bill that I voted on in the Senate was in support of tort reform, which wasn't very popular with trial lawyers, a major constituency in the Democratic Party.
IPB ImageThat 2005 bill was http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=109&session=1&vote=00009, which dealt with class-action lawsuits. Obama was one of 18 Democrats voting for it, while 26 opposed. It's a stretch for Obama to claim that he bolted his party when nearly 41 percent of Democrats voted in favor of the bill.

And as http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_obama.html, Obama has a pretty consistent record of voting in stride with his party. According to Congressional Quarterly, in Obama's three years in the Senate, he has voted with his party almost 97 percent of the time.




Budget Ballyhoo

Both candidates got ahead of themselves when it came to balancing the budget and eliminating the deficit. Obama said every one of his spending increases was paid for.
Obama: Now, what I've done throughout this campaign is to propose a net spending cut. ... Every dollar that I've proposed, I've proposed an additional cut so that it matches.
McCain said he could balance the budget within one term.
Schieffer: Do either of you think you can balance the budget in four years? You have said previously you thought you could, Sen. McCain.
McCain: Sure I do. And let me tell you...
Schieffer: You can still do that?
McCain: Yes.
These are pie-in-the-sky predictions. We've http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/the_budget_according_to_mccain_part_i.html McCain's balanced-budget promise before – it's out of reach unless he cuts spending to an unrealistic degree. The Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center estimates that by 2013, at the end of his first term, McCain's tax plan would have him facing a $662 billion deficit. That could come to more than half of that year's discretionary spending, which the Office of Management and Budget http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2009/pdf/hist.pdf to be $1.1 trillion. And we've http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/factchecking_obama.html Obama's claim that "every dime" of his proposed spending is covered. The Tax Policy Center estimated that Obama’s plan – and McCain's, too – http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/UploadedPDF/411750_updated_candidates_summary.pdf" unless the candidates come up with "substantial cuts in government spending" that they haven't yet specified. More recently, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget also http://www.usbudgetwatch.org/files/crfb/USBW%20Voter%20Guide%20October%205%202008.pdf that in 2013, Obama’s major budget proposals – including spending cuts – would increase the deficit for that year by $281 billion.

The $42,000, Again.

McCain was on the wrong side of this exchange:
McCain: Sen. Obama talks about voting for budgets. He voted twice for a budget resolution that increases the taxes on individuals making $42,000 a year. . . .

Obama: [T]he notion that I voted for a tax increase for people making $42,000 a year has been disputed by everybody who has looked at this claim.
McCain was wrong to say Obama's March 2008 http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=110&session=2&vote=00085 for a budget resolution "increases" anything. Budget resolutions set targets for taxes and spending; actually raising or lowering them requires separate legislation.

IPB Image The $42,000 figure also would only apply to single taxpayers, not to couples or families. As we’ve http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/the_32000_question.html, a single taxpayer making more than $41,500 would have seen a tax increase, but a couple filing jointly would have seen no increase unless they made at least $83,000, and for a couple with two children the cut-off would have been $90,000. Regardless, the increase that Obama once supported as part of a Democratic budget bill is not part of his own current tax plan. And Obama was right when he said "even FOX News disputes" McCain's $42,000 claim. Chris Wallace of Fox News http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,401102,00.html that it was misleading.

Wrong Justice

McCain said that Obama voted against the confirmations of Supreme Court Justices Stephen Breyer and John Roberts:
McCain: Senator Obama voted against Justice Breyer and Justice Roberts on the grounds that they didn't meet his ideological standards.
McCain probably meant to say that Obama http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=109&session=1&vote=00245 http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=109&session=2&vote=00002 the confirmations of Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito, the most recent additions to the court. Obama did vote against the confirmation of Roberts, but he wasn’t in the Senate when Breyer was nominated to join the Court. Breyer was nominated to the Supreme Court by former President Bill Clinton and http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=103&session=2&vote=00242 by the Senate in 1994. Obama didn’t become a senator until January 2005.

Charter School Slip-Up

Obama overstated his work on charter schools in Illinois:
Obama: Charter schools, I doubled the number of charter schools in Illinois despite some reservations from teachers unions.
Actually, the http://ilga.gov/legislation/BillStatus.asp?DocNum=19&GAID=3&DocTypeID=SB&LegId=100&SessionID=3&GA=93 Obama cosponsored doubled the number of charter schools in Chicago, not in the entire state of Illinois. (And an extra slap on the wrist to Obama for using the personal pronoun in saying that "I doubled the number of charter schools" – as we've http://www.factcheck.org/elections-2008/obamas_work_claim.html, it takes a lot more than one politician to get a bill passed.)

Tried But Untrue

And we noted that both candidates continued to recycle bunk that we've heard before:
Sea Story

Finally, the
ears of nautical buffs may have perked up when McCain said, “we've sailed Navy ships around the world for 60 years with nuclear power plants on them.” His naval history is off by a few years. The first nuclear-powered vessel, the submarine http://www.ussnautilus.org/history.html, was actually launched Jan. 21, 1954.

–by
Jessica Henig, Joe Miller, Lori Robertson, Justin Bank, D'Angelo Gore, Emi Kolawole and Brooks Jackson
SourcesCongressional Research Service. http://www.ncseonline.org/NLE/CRSreports/07March/RL33763.pdf. Washington: GPO, 2007.

Burman, Leonard E., et.al. "http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/publications/url.cfm?ID=411749." Tax Policy Center, 12 Sept. 2008.

Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. "http://www.usbudgetwatch.org/files/crfb/usbw0915promises.pdf." U.S. Budget Watch. 15 Sep. 2008.

Satterberg, Dan. "http://www.metrokc.gov/proatty/news/2007/Voter%20Registration%20Statement.htm." 26 Jul. 2007.

U.S. Census Bureau. "http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/ACSSAFFFacts?_event=Search&geo_id=&_geoContext=&_street=&_county=toledo&_cityTown=toledo&_state=04000US39&_zip=&_lang=en&_sse=on&pctxt=fph&pgsl=010" U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 2006, accessed 16 Oct. 2008.

http://www.acorn.org/index.php?id=12439&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=22392&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=12387&cHash=cde29e8614. 15 Oct. 2008

Griffin, Drew and Kathleen Johnston . “Thousands of voter registration forms faked, officials say.” 10 Oct. 2008

Robinson, Mike. http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/02/20/obama_got_start_in_civil_rights_practice/. Associated Press, 20 Feb. 2007

Tapper, Jake. http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/10/spread-the-weal.html. ABC New Political Punch Blog. 14 Oct. 2008

Brown, David M. “http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/election/s_584284.html” Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, 22 Aug. 2008

CQ member Profiles: Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill). Congressional Quarterly, 12 June 2008.

Rabinowitz, Steve. “[url="http://wiscadproject.wisc.edu/wiscads_release_100808.pdf"]Pres. TV advertising spending continues to grow;
Over $28 million spent from September 28-October 4.[/url]” Wisconsin Ad Project. 8 Oct. 2008

Kurtz, Howard. “http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/17/AR2008091703581.html” Washington Post, 18 Sept. 2008

OECD Tax Database. Centre for Tax Policy and Administration.

Hodge, Scott.

Posted by: JHeath Oct 16 2008, 10:49 AM

QUOTE
Obama incorrectly claimed all of McCain’s ads had been “negative.” That was true for one recent week, but not over the entire campaign. And at times Obama has run a higher percentage of attack ads than McCain.


I believe the overall statistic (for negative campaign ads) was McCain 73%, Obama 63%. This is from the time of the nominations until now.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 16 2008, 12:30 PM

I would trust FactCheck.org, not anyone else.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 22 2008, 10:30 AM

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/us_elections_2008/7679987.stm


Here is the printable version:


IPB Image A six-pack of Joes

The next president of the United States will not be called Joe, but Joes of various kinds have been all over the news from the campaign trail. Democratic vice-presidential candidate Joe Biden has been joined by Joe the plumber, Joe Six-Pack and others.

So here is a guide to six Joes in the news:










JOE THE PLUMBER

Joe the plumber confronted Barack Obama on a walkabout in Toledo, Ohio, asking awkward questions about his plan to increase income tax on high earners. "I'm getting ready to buy a company that makes $250,000 to $280,000 a year," he said. "Your new tax plan is going to tax me more, isn't it?" John McCain seized on this - and on Mr Obama's reply, that "when you spread the wealth around, it's good for everybody". He mentioned Joe Wurzelbacher the plumber more than 20 times in the final presidential debate.



It later turned out that Joe's real name was Samuel, he was not a licensed plumber, he was unlikely to be buying a company any time soon, and would probably benefit from Mr Obama's tax plans. He also refused to confirm that he would be voting for Mr McCain. The original Joe, or Samuel, has spawned a number of others. Mr Obama's running mate, Joe Biden, said on the Tonight Show with Jay Leno on Thursday that in his neighbourhood they didn't know many plumbers making $250,000 a year, and that people were "kind of worried about Joe the fireman, Joe the policeman, Joe the real plumber with a licence".

This weekend the Democratic Party went a step further, running a pro-Obama telephone ("robocall") advertisement recorded by "Joe Martinez... a plumber from Denver, Colorado, calling for Barack Obama's campaign for change".

JOE SIX-PACK

Joe Six-Pack is a close relative of Regular Joe, Average Joe, Ordinary Joe, Joe Schmo, Joe Blow and others. The name "Six-Pack" refers to his favourite drink rather than a well-sculpted washboard stomach.



Republican vice-presidential candidate Sarah Palin sees something of Joe Six-Pack in herself. As she told one interviewer: "It's time that normal Joe Six-Pack American is finally represented in the position of vice-presidency… it's motivation for John McCain and I to work that much harder to make sure that our ticket is victorious, and we put government back on the side of the people, of Joe Six-Pack like me." So Joe Six-Pack is definitely not a Washington insider. Nor is he responsible for the problems on Wall Street. He is a male version of the hockey mom. This is how Mrs Palin put it in the vice-presidential debate on 2 October, answering a question about the financial crisis: "One thing that Americans do at this time, also, though, is let's commit ourselves, just everyday American people, Joe Six-Pack, hockey moms across the nation, I think we need to band together and say, 'Never again, never will we be exploited and taken advantage of again by those who are managing our money and loaning us these dollars.'"

The Palins may be a bit wealthier than some Joe Six-Packs and hockey moms.

The Anchorage Daily News writes: "Add up the couple's 2007 income and the estimated value of their property and investments and they appear to be worth at least $1.2 million."

JOE "LUNCH-PAIL" BIDEN

Joe Biden, Barack Obama's vice-presidential candidate, is the most prominent Joe on the Democratic side of the race. John McCain, a four-term senator, has referred to him as "Joe the six-term senator", but conservative columnists and bloggers prefer the derisive "Lunch-pail Joe Biden" - a reference to his habit of talking up his working class roots in the coal-mining town of Scranton, Pennsylvania (where most working men would have taken their lunch to work in a lunch box, or lunch pail).



One of the main reasons Barack Obama chose Joe Biden as his running mate - apart from his experience in foreign policy - was his potential appeal to working class white male voters. "The pick works if it is positioned as Obama picking a lunch-pail Dunkin' Donuts Democrat to complement his Starbucks Democrat brand," Democratic strategist Chris Lehane told the New York Times. But Mr Biden's grandfather was a mining engineer rather than a miner, and Joe left Scranton at the age of 10, when his father got a job at a car-dealership in Delaware. It was this lunch-pail tendency that led him during his bid for the 1988 Democratic nomination to recycle parts of a speech by British Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock, asking why it was that he was the first Biden (Kinnock) in a thousand generations to go to college.



One of the least wealthy members of the Senate, Joe Biden nonetheless lives in a colonial-style lake-front house worth in the region of $3m.

JOE LIEBERMAN Joe Lieberman, an Independent (formerly Democratic) senator from Connecticut, has been tipped as a possible Secretary of Defense or Secretary of State if John McCain wins the White House. Both are foreign policy hawks. Mr Lieberman endorsed Mr McCain in a speech at the Republican convention, and has appeared at countless McCain rallies around the US - he knows the routine, having been Al Gore's running mate on the Democratic presidential ticket in 2000.



On the stump last week in Florida, he could not help joining in the fun surrounding another Joe: "Which of the two candidates is the fighter we need for Joe the Plumber?" he said. "I think you know what I'm saying, John McCain will fight for Jose el Plomero!" If Mr McCain does not win the White House, Mr Lieberman's role in the Senate could be an interesting one. Since the 2006 mid-term elections, he has continued to caucus with the Democrats in the Senate, giving them a majority of one.

After the election, if the Democrats end up with 59 Senate seats, it will be in his power to grant them a filibuster-proof "super-majority" of 60.

SHOELESS JOE JACKSON

Shoeless Joe has only played a bit-part in this election - alluded to by Sarah Palin, knowingly or not, in the vice-presidential debate with Joe Biden.

This is how it happened. Joe Biden launched into lunch-pail mode for one of his attempts to draw parallels between the McCain/Palin ticket and George Bush: "Look, all you have to do is go down Union Street with me in Wilmington or go to Katie's Restaurant or walk into Home Depot with me where I spend a lot of time and you ask anybody in there whether or not the economic and foreign policy of this administration has made them better off in the last eight years."



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Sarah Palin turns on folksy charm

Sarah Palin replied: "I'll say it ain't so, Joe, there you go again, pointing backwards again. You prefaced your whole comment with 'the Bush administration'. Now doggone it, let's look ahead and tell Americans what we have to plan to do for them in the future."

The words "Say it ain't so, Joe" date back to 1920. They were allegedly spoken to Chicago White Sox baseball star Shoeless Joe Jackson by a broken-hearted young supporter, as Joe was leaving a grand jury hearing where he had admitted taking part in a match-fixing scandal.

(Chat show host David Letterman has suggested Mrs Palin set-up her use of the "Say it ain't so" quotation by asking Mr Biden before the debate if she could call him Joe.

Mr Biden's critics, meanwhile, have cast doubt on the suggestion that he spends a lot of time in Home Depot - and point out that Katie's Restaurant closed down a decade ago or more.)

GI JOE



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Some of the Sarah Palin dolls - and reaction to them

You can buy GI Joe-style action figures of Barack Obama, John McCain and Sarah Palin. But the real GI Joes are the sons of the candidates who are, or have been, serving in Iraq.

Captain Beau Biden (real name Joseph Robinette Biden III, in other words, a genuine GI Joe) introduced his father at the Democratic Convention in Denver, with an oblique reference to his forthcoming deployment: "But because of other duties, it won't be possible for me to be here this fall to stand by him the way he stood by me. So I have something to ask of you. Be there for my dad like he was for me." His father responded: "Beau, I love you. I am so proud of you." Two days later, Mr McCain picked Mrs Palin as his running mate. She gave the Republican Convention the news that her son, Private First Class Track Palin, would, on 11 September, "deploy to Iraq with the Army Infantry in the service of his country".

Both VP candidates made speeches at their sons' deployment ceremonies. John McCain, by contrast, has maintained an almost total silence about his own son Jimmy's role in Iraq - a marine who returned from a tour of duty in February. Another of Mr McCain's sons, Jack, aged 21, is to graduate from the Naval Academy in 2009. This gives rise to the possibility of Mr McCain becoming the first occupant of the White House since Eisenhower to have a son at war.



Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/americas/us_elections_2008/7679987.stm

Published: 2008/10/21 08:24:56 GMT

© BBC MMVIII


Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 22 2008, 10:54 AM

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/us_elections_2008/7683677.stm




Printable version:

IPB Image Warning over US election problems Researchers are warning of potential problems during the US election with record numbers set to vote and many states using new voting machines.

Long queues are likely at polling stations on 4 November, Pew researchers say, and both parties are hiring lawyers in anticipation of challenges.

Voters have already had long waits in some states where early voting is under way, like North Carolina and Florida.

It comes despite efforts to improve the system after problems in 2000 and 2004.

The 2008 election "has the potential to combine a record turnout with an insufficient number of poll workers and a voting system still in flux," the report by the non-partisan Pew group says.

The biggest hurdle facing election workers may be the new voters registering in record numbers in almost every state, the report says.



For example, officials in Virginia recently ordered 200,000 extra voter registration forms.

And although many states are encouraging people to cast their ballot early or send it in by post, there is still a danger of big queues on election day and insufficient numbers of poll workers to handle the influx, the report warns.

Election officials in Virginia have said they will step up polling station security amid concerns that arguments over long queues, voter registration and identity issues could become heated.

Analysts suggest that early voting in a number of key states is favouring Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama.

In North Carolina, some 214,000 people cast their ballot on the first two days of early voting, with registered Democrats making up 62% of the number compared with 22% registered Republicans.

Meanwhile, a new opinion poll by the Pew Research Center suggests Mr Obama has increased his national lead over rival John McCain in the past month to 14 points, with 52% to his 38%.

The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll gives Mr Obama the same lead over Mr McCain, up from a six-point margin in the same poll two weeks ago.

Testing times

Mr Obama and his running mate, Senator Joe Biden, are to meet his campaign's national security advisers in Virginia on Wednesday.

After the discussion, Mr Obama is expected to give a public briefing on how his foreign policy plans compare to those of his rival.




McCain continues to talk about Obama 'spreading the wealth', which I understand as a political tactic might be effective

It comes a day after Mr McCain questioned his rival's readiness for the White House, as he campaigned in Pennsylvania.

"We don't want a president who invites testing from the world at a time when our economy is in crisis and Americans are already fighting in two wars," Mr McCain said.

Mr McCain was expected to return on Wednesday to New Hampshire, a state he won in the Republican primaries but which opinion polls suggest is leaning towards his rival.

Mr Obama will also hold rallies in Richmond and Leesburg, Virginia, on Wednesday in which he will focus on the economy.

He will campaign in Indiana - another traditionally Republican-leaning state where he is doing well in the polls - on Thursday, before taking a two-day break to visit his sick grandmother in Hawaii.

Clashes on tax

On Tuesday, the second day of a swing through Florida, Mr Obama accused Mr McCain of making "stuff" up in the last weeks of the campaign.



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Barack Obama blames "irresponsibility in Washington" for financial turmoil in the US

Earlier, Mr Obama met the governors of Ohio, Michigan, New Mexico and Colorado in Lake Worth, Florida, to discuss jobs and the economy with business leaders and financial experts.

On the campaign trail in Pennsylvania, where Mr Obama has the lead in opinion polls, Mr McCain said his rival's economic plan would result in raised taxes.

Meanwhile, his running mate Sarah Palin apologised for any misunderstanding over comments last week on the patriotic values of "the real America" and "pro-America areas of this great nation".

Mrs Palin denied that was her intention to imply that some parts of the country were more patriotic than others.

"I don't want that misunderstood. If that's the way it came across, I apologise," she told CNN.



Are you a US voter concerned about problems on the polling day? Have you had difficulties in registering yourself? Are you an overseas voter still waiting for your ballot paper? Send you comment using the form below:



Name Your E-mail address Town & Country Phone number (optional): Comments



Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/americas/us_elections_2008/7683677.stm

Published: 2008/10/22 12:26:25 GMT

© BBC MMVIII


Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 27 2008, 08:39 AM

http://electoral-vote.com/


Obama projected 375 electoral votes, McCain 157.



Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 29 2008, 09:41 AM

http://electoral-vote.com/


Obama 364 McCain 157


Go to the site and scroll down past the map to some pretty interesting discussion.

Posted by: Johnny Rush Oct 29 2008, 11:25 AM

Obama's on his way to spend Halloween in NW Indiana...

Senator Obama to Visit Lake County Friday

Indianapolis, IN – The Obama-Biden Campaign announced today that Senator Barack Obama will return to Indiana the evening of Oct. 31 for an event in Lake County. He will make his closing argument to Hoosiers and ask them to choose hope over fear, unity over division and the promise of change over the power of the status quo.

Further details will be announced as they become available.

###



FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE





Also, this is just something that I find interesting (even though it has very very little to do with the actual election), here is a list of surrogates that the campaigns are pushing to do radio and television interviews. Contact information has been deleted...

Seems like McCain is going to spend the final week hitting up his military prowess, while Obama is still attempting to make America comfortable with him?

Barrack Obama:

**KENNETH “BABYFACE” EDMONDS, NATIVE HOOSIER PRODUCER/SONGWRITER**

Producer and songwriter Kenneth “Babyface” Edmonds (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Babyface) is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.

**NEW MEXICO GOVERNOR BILL RICHARDSON**

New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Richardson) is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**MARK RUFFALO, ACTOR FROM COLLATERAL**

Actor Mark Ruffalo (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Ruffalo) from Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind and Collateral is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**EDIE FALCO, ACTRESS FROM THE SOPRANOS**

Sopranos star Edie Falco (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edie_Falco) is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**BRIAN McKNIGHT, GRAMMY-NOMINATED SINGER**

Grammy-nominated artist Brian McKnight (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_McKnight), singer of the hit “Back at One,” is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**FRANCES McDORMAND, OSCAR WINNING STAR OF FARGO**

Academy Award-winning star of Fargo Frances McDormand (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frances_mcdormand) is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**CAMILLE WINBUSH, ACTRESS FROM 7th HEAVEN AND NYPD BLUE**

Image Award-winning actress Camille Winbush (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camille_Winbush) from 7th Heaven and NYPD Blue is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**MARIA ECHAVESTE, FMR CLINTON WHITE HOUSE DEP CHIEF OF STAFF**

Maria Echaveste (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maria_Echaveste), former Clinton White House Deputy Chief of Staff and highest ranking Latina in the Clinton administration, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**MARIO VAN PEEBLES, ACTOR FROM ALL MY CHILDREN**

Veteran actor and director Mario Van Peebles (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mario_Van_Peebles), most recently seen on All My Children as Samuel Woods, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**JASMINE GUY, ACTRESS FROM A DIFFERENT WORLD**

Jasmine Guy (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jasmine_Guy), actress from the TV show A Different World, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**JOHN CHO, HAROLD FROM HAROLD AND KUMAR**

John Cho (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Cho), Harold of Harold and Kumar fame, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**KAL PENN, KUMAR FROM HAROLD AND KUMAR**

Kal Penn (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kal_Penn), Kumar of Harold and Kumar fame, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**BRANFORD MARSALIS, FAMOUS SAXOPHONIST**

Branford Marsalis (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Branford_Marsalis) , famous saxophonist and leader of the Branford Marsalis Quartet, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**HEATHER TOM, ACTRESS FROM THE YOUNG AND THE RESTLESS**

Two-time Emmy Award-winning actress Heather Tom (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heather_Tom), a star of the CBS’ daytime drama The Young and the Restless, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**ERIC HOLDER, FMR DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL OF THE US**

Eric Holder (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eric_Holder), first African American Deputy Attorney General of the United States under the Clinton Administration, is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**JEAN SMART, EMMY AWARD WINNING ACTRESS**

Multiple Emmy Award-winning Actress Jean Smart (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean_Smart) is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.


**NATE PARKER, ACTOR FROM THE SECRET LIFE OF BEES**

Actor Nate Parker (http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1676649/) is available to you for radio booking during the day Thursday.






For John McCain:

The Hon. Robert 'Bud' McFarlane-
Robert C. "Bud" McFarlane is a retired Marine Colonel and Vietnam combat veteran who served as National Security Advisor to President Ronald Reagan. He is a graduate of the United States Naval Academy.

The Hon. John F. Lehman-
John F. Lehman, Jr. Served as Secretary of the Navy in the Reagan administration and since 2003 has been a member of the 9/11 Commission.

The Hon. James Woolsey-
Former CIA Director and Under Secretary of the Navy. He is currently a member of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy Board of Advisors, and an advisor of the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security.

General Paul X. Kelly-
Former Commandant of the US Marine Corps, Four Star General, Green Beret. He is the Vice Chairman Emeritus Cassidy and Associates, a Public Policy firm and is on the board of directors for a number of corporations, including Allied Signal, Inc GenCorp,Inc and Saul Centers Inc.

Col. Bud Day-
The most decorated Veteran in the US, POW over 5 years, first cellmate of Sen. McCain. Medal of Honor recipient. One of Sen. McCain’s closest friends.

The Hon. Orson Swindle-
POW. Cellmate with Sen. McCain in Hanoi. POW over 6 years, USMC Lt Colonel (ret), Former Federal Trade Commissioner (1997-2005) and Asst Secretary of Commerce under Reagan. One of Sen. McCain’s closest friends.

Garry Berntsen-
A 23-year CIA officer, Berntsen led CIA response into Afghanistan after 9/11 and is the best-selling author of “Jawbreaker” The attack on bin Laden and al-Qaeda: a personal account by the CIA's key field commander. Has just released a new book 'The Walk-in’.

Mike Durant-
The American pilot who was shot down and held prisoner after a raid in Mogadishu, Somalia. His awards include the Distinguished Service Medal, Distinguished Flying Cross with Oak Leaf Cluster, Bronze Star with Valor Device, and The Purple Heart. Durant’s harrowing story was the inspiration for the movie “Black Hawk Down”.

Captain Scott O'Grady -
His F-16 was shot down in Bosnia, and O’Grady survived in hostile territory for six days before being rescued by the U.S. Marines. He wrote a book called 'Return With Honor' that was on the New York Times bestseller list. His story has also been documented on the Discovery Channel presentation, “Behind Enemy Lines”.

Posted by: Ang Oct 29 2008, 11:43 AM

Thanks for the info Johnny!

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 29 2008, 11:55 AM

Why do you call them "The Hon.?" They do not hold those offices any longer, and since this is non-royalist America, they do not keep those titles or honorifics after they are not in those offices. Same goes for former judges, senators, governors, presidents, ambassadors, etc.

Posted by: Johnny Rush Oct 29 2008, 04:04 PM

Believe me, there was no editorializing on my end...just a copy and paste job with the honorable's.

Trick or treating with my 4 and 2 year old or seeing the next President of the United States, trick or treating or moment in history, my children's memories or story to tell the others in the old folks home...grrrrr...tough call.





UPDATED: Senator Obama to Hold Early Vote for Change Rally at Wicker Memorial Park in Highland


Indianapolis, IN – Friday, Oct. 31, Barack Obama will return to Indiana for an Early Vote for Change Rally at Wicker Memorial Park in Highland. At the rally, Obama will make his closing argument to Hoosiers and ask them to choose hope over fear, unity over division and the promise of change over the power of the status quo.



Early Vote for Change Rally with Barack Obama

Wicker Memorial Park

8554 Indianapolis Blvd.

Highland, IN 46322



Public Entrance at Ridge Rd. and Prairie St



Media Pre-Set: 2:00 to 2:30 p.m. CDT (Equipment must be dropped by 2:30 p.m.; media will not have access to the site from 2:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m.)

Media Access: 5:30 p.m. CDT

Gates Open: 6:00 p.m. CDT

Program Begins: 7:30 p.m. CDT



Throw: 60 ft.

Cable Run: 500 ft.

Live Truck Parking: Use West Entrance to Wicker Park

Press workspace is limited.

Wireless internet is not available.



Media Coverage: The event is open to the press. For credentials, please visit www.barackobama.com/mediarsvp



The event is free and open to the public. Tickets are NOT required. Members of the public are encouraged to RSVP at www.in.barackobama.com. Space is available on a first come, first serve basis. Please do not wear costumes.



Parking is available on the Wicker Memorial Park Driving Range. Pedestrian and vehicular entrance at the intersection of Ridge Rd. and Prairie St.



Contact for press logistical and planning purposes only: Brandon Lepow- 312-343-8810 or BLepow@barackobama.com



***For security reasons do not bring bags or umbrellas. Please limit personal items. No signs or banners allowed.***







###



FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Oct 29 2008, 06:55 PM

go with your kids. get freddy ricky to do the political thing.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Nov 19 2008, 08:26 PM

Two sites for when you have nothing to do:


http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/justinwebb/
make sure to follow the links in the stories



http://westernstandard.blogs.com/shotgun/2008/11/new-documentary.html
start in, enjoy, make sure to get to the comments

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Nov 25 2008, 01:11 PM

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Carto/Nov25-c.html

I cannot reproduce the map here, but it shows the states in relative size depending on their number of electoral votes. It shows that when a lot of states go to one side, and fewer to the other, the relative populations really determine the outcome.


I would also mention that is site called the election results in advance nearly perfectly.

Posted by: Roger Kaputnik Dec 3 2008, 12:03 PM


[url="http://www.frontlineonnet.com/index.htm"]IPB Image
[/url] IPB Image
Volume 25 - Issue 25 :: Dec. 06-19, 2008
INDIA'S NATIONAL MAGAZINE
from the publishers of THE HINDU
http://www.frontlineonnet.com/index.htm
window.google_render_ad(); http://www.hinduonnet.com/thehindu/thscrip/print.pl?file=20081219252512300.htm&date=fl2525/&prd=fline& http://www.hinduonnet.com/thehindu/thscrip/pgemail.pl?date=fl2525/&prd=fline&

LETTERS

Historic moment











WITH Barack Obama winning the historic race to the White House, America has transcended the boundaries of race and colour. His elevation as America’s first African-American President reminds me of Uncle Tom’s Cabin, the famous 1852 novel by Harriet Beecher Stowe, which dealt with the plight of African Americans enslaved by whites in America; and of Rosa Parks, a black woman from Montgomery [Alabama], who, on December 1, 1955, started a revolution by refusing to give up her bus seat to a white man and was arrested for it.

It also reminds me of Abraham Lincoln, one of America’s greatest presidents, who, by issuing the Emancipation Proclamation on September 22, 1863, freed African Americans from enslavement in the rebellious South in the midst of a raging civil war and subsequently paid for it with his life. One hopes that Obama will take this legacy further and boost India-U.S. relations.

S. Balakrishnan
Jamshedpur, Jharkhand

Barack Obama

THROUGHTOUT his campaign, Barack Obama showed courage, confidence, and courtesy to gain the mandate of the people of the United States (Cover Story, December 5). His historic journey to the White House was without any mudslinging. He is articulate and has a calm temperament, which are indicators of his ability to make a difference to the lives of the people of America.

Syed Khaja
New Delhi

OBAMA’S massive victory showed that the people of the U.S. have great expectations of him. He will take over at a time when the U.S. economy is in a shambles, unemployment is on the rise and the fiscal situation is grave.

Abroad, he will have to retrieve America’s image, which has been sullied because of its disregard for the United Nations Charter, long-established principles of international law, the Geneva Convention and human rights. To justify the violations, his predecessor gave many excuses, including the divine right of invasion, reminiscent of 17th century British King James I’s invoking the theory of divine right of kingship in his fight against the British Parliament.

Abdul Wasay
Bhagalpur, Bihar

ALTHOUGH Obama has several crises to resolve, his primary focus must be to instil confidence in the minds of average Americans that they will be safeguarded and bailed out from the current economic catastrophe.

During his campaign, Obama stated that Jerusalem should be the future capital of Israel. Such irresponsible statements may hamper the West Asian peace process, which is already in disarray.

He has to fine-tune his relationship with Latin America, with emphasis on Cuba. Cuba has been subjected to an economic blockade for about five decades because it practises a system of government that is not to the liking of the U.S. The credit would be wholly Obama’s even if he partially lifts the embargo and thereby enters into a diplomatic relationship with Cuba.

S. Murali
Vellore, Tamil Nadu

Sri Lanka



AS is evident from the reports of the UTHR-J on the human crisis in the war-torn areas of Sri Lanka (“Chilling stories”, December 5), the Mahinda Rajapaksa government has no intention of solving the issue politically. Civilians in Wanni, Kilinochchi and Vavuniya are caught between the forced conscription by the Tigers and the bombardment by the military. The United Nations should intervene and stop the violation of human rights.

Shajimon P.
Cherthala, Kerala

Saffron terror



THE arrest of Sadhvi Pragya Singh Thakur, retired Major Ramesh Upadhyay, Lieutenant Colonel Shrikant Prasad Purohit and several other activists of Hindu extremist groups for their alleged roles in the Malegaon bomb explosion has shocked people across the country (“Of saffron variety”, December 5).

In the name of retaliation against jehadi terror and protecting Hindutva, these extremist groups are expanding their base in society. It is not good for India as it will create a civil war-like situation involving Hindutva extremist groups on one side and Islamist terrorist groups on the other.

Amiya Krishna Pandey
Ghaziabad, Uttar Pradesh



ANNOUNCEMENT

Letters, whether by surface mail or e-mail, must carry the full postal address and the full name, or the name with initials.













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